49ers vs Raiders Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 27, 2022, 1:21 PM
  • The 49ers (11-4) are -6 point favorites vs the Raiders (6-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The San Francisco 49ers (11-4) visit Allegiant Stadium to take on the Las Vegas Raiders (6-9) on Jan. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Las Vegas.

The 49ers are betting favorites in Week 17, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The 49ers vs. Raiders Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.

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49ers vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 17

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
49ers-6 -11044.5 -110-250
Raiders +6 -11044.5 -110+200

49ers vs. Raiders Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the 49ers will win this Week 17 game with 72.8% confidence.

49ers vs Raiders Spread Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the 49ers will cover the spread this Week 17 with 52.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the 49ers and Raiders, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best 49ers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for 49ers players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Aiyuk has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • George Kittle has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Christian McCaffrey has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 away games (+4.20 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Jimmy Garoppolo has hit the Completions Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Christian McCaffrey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.75 Units / 27% ROI)

Best Raiders Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Raiders players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Josh Jacobs has hit the Carries Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Derek Carr has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Davante Adams has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Derek Carr has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+3.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 2Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.85 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have covered the 2Q Spread in their last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.30 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 18 games (+5.05 Units / 21% ROI)

49ers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the 49ers have gone 10-5 (+4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 49ers are 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 11.69% ROI
  • 49ers are 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI
  • 49ers are 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units / ROI

Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders have gone 7-8 (-1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI).

  • Raiders are 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -30.44% ROI
  • Raiders are 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI
  • Raiders are 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI

San Francisco 49ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders

The 49ers are 11-2 (.846) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .516.

The 49ers are 9-3 (.750) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2021 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .359.

The 49ers are 4-1 (.800) vs top 10 offenses this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .320.

The 49ers are 9-0 (1.000) when not throwing an interception this season — tied for best in NFL. The Raiders have intercepted 5 passes this season — third-fewest in NFL.

Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the San Francisco 49ers

The Raiders are 7-1 (.875) when passing for more than 300 yards since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .564.

The Raiders are winless (0-6) when scoring less than 22 points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .277.

The Raiders are 2-7 (.222) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush this season — tied for 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .472.

The Raiders are 5-1 (.833) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — tied for 9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .667.

Additional Matchup Notes for San Francisco 49ers vs. Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders have run just 11.1% offensive plays in the red zone this season — second-worst in NFL. 49ers has allowed their opponent to run just 9.7% of plays in the red zone this season — best in NFL.

The Raiders have run just 7.7% offensive plays in the red zone since Week 13 — fourth-worst in NFL. 49ers has allowed their opponent to run just 7.3% of plays in the red zone since Week 13 — third-best in NFL.

The Raiders have scored 19 TDs in the red zone this season — tied for fourth-fewest in NFL. The 49ers have allowed 18 TDs when defending in the red zone this season — second-fewest in NFL.

The 49ers have gone three and out on 13% of their drives this season — best in NFL. Raiders have forced three and outs on 17.1% of opponent drives this season — fifth-worst in NFL.

The 49ers have run successful plays on 50.8% of pass attempts this season — fourth-best in NFL. Raiders have allowed successful plays on 50.6% of pass attempts this season — third-worst in NFL.

The 49ers have thrown the ball just 44.8% of the time since Week 13 — fifth-lowest in NFL. The Raiders have allowed just 5.7 yards per dropback since Week 13 — tied for fifth-best in NFL.

San Francisco 49ers Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The 49ers have 8 TDs that were 20+ yards since Week 13 of the 2021 Season — most in NFL.

The 49ers have gone three and out on 13% of their drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.

The 49ers started 4 drives inside opposing territory in Week 16 — most in NFL.

The 49ers ran 57% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter in Week 16 — best in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Raiders have converted first downs on just 97 of 186 plays (52%) on 3rd and short since the 2020 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 61%.

The Raiders ran successful plays on 23% of plays in the 2nd half in Week 16 — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Raiders converted first downs on just 36 of 73 plays (49%) on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Raiders have averaged 27.1 offensive penalty yards per game (406/15) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 19.8.

San Francisco 49ers Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

The 49ers defense has allowed successful plays on 23% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The 49ers defense has allowed 15.5 Points per Game (232/15) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21.9.

The 49ers defense has allowed 90.1 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 128.9.

The 49ers defense has allowed scores on 24% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 36%.

Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Raiders defense has averaged 0.3 interceptions per game (11/32) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

The Raiders defense allowed first downs on 81% of pass attempts on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 58%.

The Raiders defense intercepted 6 of 606 attempts (101.0 pass attempts per int.) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.6.

The Raiders defense has allowed 4.6 TDs per interception (51 TDs allowed, and 11 INT) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.