The US Open 2022 draw on the men’s side, barring any unforeseen developments, promises an embarrassment of riches, which includes five non-favorites to keep an eye on.
US Open betting odds help set the stage for what to expect at Flushing Meadows in late August and early September.
Betting lines, though, are fluid and depend on numerous evolving factors. Will favorite Novak Djokovic be permitted to play, how will Rafael Nadal’s vulnerable torso hold up, can Alexander Zverev return after tearing ankle ligaments at the French Open, and will Roger Federer win the race against time to compete?
The outcomes of those questions could heavily influence your US Open tennis betting. But, aside from those uncontrollable matters, here are five non-favorites to monitor in the lead-up to the US Open.
5. Nick Kyrgios +3300
If you’re wondering how Nick Kyrgios will perform on the back of advancing to his first Grand Slam final, you’re certainly not alone. The Australian showed composure and, for the most part, a newfound maturity en route to the Wimbledon final. However, facing assault allegations, he is back in Australia and has a scheduled court date in early August.
There are so many uncertainties where Kyrgios is concerned.
Even so, he can be dominant on the hard court and has a career 64% success rate on the surface. He also has one of the best serves on tour, which, if firing accurately, causes recurring nightmares for each player on the receiving end. He is also a reasonably solid 4-3 against top-10 opponents this year, a stat that bodes well for any major.
If he plays at least one warm-up tournament and performs well, he could be worth a punt.
4. Andrey Rublev +2000
Andrey Rublev, ranked 8th in the world, couldn’t play at Wimbledon and is set to make a splash at the US Open. He has won three ATP titles in 2022 and nine since the start of 2020, seven on hard court. Rublev is an impressive 18-4 this season, and 158-88 during his career on hard court, the surface on which eight of his 11 titles have come.
Rublev has made it to the US Open quarterfinals twice, including a trip to the final eight in 2020. The 24-year-old is in his prime and has enough experience to make a statement at Flushing Meadows.
3. Matteo Berrettini – +2000
Another player who couldn’t showcase his skills at Wimbledon, Matteo Berrettini should enter the US Open with added motivation. Berrettini pulled out of Wimbledon before his opening-round match due to a positive Covid-19 test. The Italian’s favorite surface is grass, but he knows his way around hard courts.
Berrettini made it to the quarterfinals at Flushing Meadows last year and the fourth round in 2020. The Italian has never won a hard-court title, a disconcerting truth he will need to overcome before being considered a perennial elite player.
The US Open isn’t the best place to dispel rhetoric regarding his inability to win big matches on hard court. This season, his middling 8-5 hard-court record doesn’t help quell the naysayers.
With an 18-6 overall record, Berrettini has performed well, albeit somewhat less than most top players. However, he’ll either come out fresh or rusty in the opening round, so pay particular attention to how he performs at his warm-up tournaments.
2. Jannik Sinner – +1600
Jannik Sinner is a generational talent who will almost assuredly win a Grand Slam title. The question is whether he can make it happen at the next major. Sinner wiped the floor with Carlos Alcaraz, the US Open’s third favorite, at Wimbledon and is 16-3 on hard courts this season. He’s also 11-3 at Grand Slams and won the first two sets against Djokovic in the quarterfinal of Wimbledon.
He’s never made it past the quarterfinal of a Grand Slam but has the all-around game to make it happen.
He advanced to the fourth round of the 2021 US Open and made it to the 2022 Australian Open quarterfinals.
The only knock this season has been his inability to beat top-10 opponents. As a result, he has won just two of eight matches against elite opponents in 2022 and is still looking for his first title after winning four in 2021, all of which occurred on hard court.
1. Stefanos Tsitsipas +1000
Stefanos Tsitsipas has been bashing on the Grand Slam door for some time now, apparently closing in on his first major trophy. Three semifinal appearances and a runner-up performance since 2020 have people wondering when he’ll win his first major.
The world No. 4 disappointed in his third-round contest against Kyrgios at Wimbledon, succumbing to the Aussie’s infamous mind games.
The Greek will be looking to rebound at Flushing Meadows, where he hasn’t fared particularly well, failing to make it past the third round in four previous appearances.
He’s 17-7 on hard courts this season and is 10-3 in Grand Slams. His 4-4 record against top-10 opponents in 2022 is slightly disturbing. Tsitsipas has won two titles this year but is still looking for his first on hard court. He has won four hard-court titles, the last coming in 2019.
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