5 Picks BetMGM Hopes Don’t Hit On Thanksgiving

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BetMGM @BETMGM Jun 16, 2021, 2:20 PM
Romeo Okwara #95 of the Detroit Lions forces Steven Mitchell #11 of the Houston Texans to fumble after a reception in the second quarter during a preseason game at NRG Stadium on August 17, 2019 in Houston, Texas.
(Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)

Thanksgiving is for food, family, and football. Here are the five bets where BetMGM has the most exposure for Thanksgiving NFL action. BetMGM has all the NFL betting action you need, including futures, weekly betting lines, and live sports betting. Which one of these picks are you following and which are you fading?

Cowboys -3, 57% of handle on Dallas

Dallas snapped a four-game losing streak last week, looking like a revitalized offense in scoring 31 points on Minnesota. The Cowboys face NFC East rival Washington on Thursday. Both teams are 3-7 this season. The public likes Dallas, but Washington did win 25-3 when these teams met earlier this season. The Cowboys are a shocking 7-3 against the spread this season, but 2-0 the last two weeks. So it seems the public is bought in on the turn around narrative.

Cowboys -150, 75% of handle on Dallas

Dallas is 8-1 all-time against Washington on Thanksgiving, and at 75% of the handle, both the public money and the sharp action is coming in on Cowboys moneyline. Both teams are undergoing a bit of an offensive resurgence with Alex Smith putting in two quality starts for the Washington Football Team in the last two weeks. Still, the handle shows bettors are confident the Cowboys will make it 9-1 in their last 10 against WFT.

Texans-Lions under 51.5, 61% of handle on under

Could we see a surprise shootout in this game? “Surprise” would be the accurate word for it, as Houston and Detroit are tied at No. 22 in the NFL with 22.7 points scored per game. The Lions were shutout last Sunday by a middling Panthers defense, and the sharp money is betting on another underwhelming offensive performance with Matthew Stafford still nursing a nagging thumb injury. 

Both defenses have struggled to keep opposing offenses in check this season, hence the total being set above 50. Still, bookmakers are hoping Deshaun Watson can pick up where he left off last week against the Patriots and carry the score above 52, or bettors are going to be walking away with full pockets.

Duke Johnson #25 of the Houston Texans dives for the pylon to score a 11-yard receiving touchdown during the second quarter against the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium on October 13, 2019 in Kansas City, Missouri.
(Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

Duke Johnson under 3.5 receptions, 89% of handle on under

Disgruntled fantasy football owners must be driving the market on this one and trying to cash in at Duke Johnson's expense as the running back has struggled since taking over the Texans’ backfield when David Johnson was placed on injured reserve two weeks ago.

Duke Johnson has secured four or more targets four times this season, but surprisingly, three of those games were while David Johnson was still getting the majority of offensive snaps. He’s only had more than two catches once in the past four weeks, so bettors are expecting this trend to continue.

Terry McLaurin over 73.5 receiving yards, 80% of handle on over

Another market that could be driven by hopeful McLaurin fantasy owners, the wide receiver has been nothing short of electric this season and is one of the most lethal offensive weapons on the Washington Football Team. The wide receiver has gone over 73.5 receiving yards in eight of 10 games this season. Against Dallas a month ago, he hauled in 90 receiving yards and a touchdown, so bettors are counting on a repeat performance this Thanksgiving.

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.