Akron vs Toledo Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2023, 12:08 PM
  • Toledo (21-6) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Akron (19-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Akron Zips (19-8) visit Savage Arena to take on the Toledo Rockets (21-6) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Toledo.

Toledo is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Akron vs. Toledo Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Akron vs. Toledo Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Akron+4.5 -115O 148.5 -115+165
Toledo -4.5 -105U 148.5 -105-200

Akron vs Toledo Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Toledo will win this game with 59.1% confidence.

Akron vs Toledo Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Toledo will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Akron and Toledo, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Akron has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 34 games (+18.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 25 away games (+18.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Akron have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Akron has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Toledo have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Moneyline in their last 11 games (+11.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 23 games (+11.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Toledo has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+10.30 Units / 36% ROI)

Akron Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Akron has gone 11-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 9.1% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI

Toledo Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Toledo has gone 15-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 10.14% ROI).

  • 20-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.5 Units / -6.6% ROI
  • 18-7 when betting the Over for +10.3 Units / 36.01% ROI
  • 7-18 when betting the Under for -12.8 Units / -44.76% ROI

Akron Offensive Stats & Trends:

Akron is shooting 43% (544/1,257) this season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 45%

Akron has made 8.8 three-pointers per game this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Akron has made 194 three-pointers this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Akron has averaged 11.1 turnovers per game (244 turnovers/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Toledo Offensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has a TS% of 51% this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 48%

Toledo has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (856 assists/ 571 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Toledo has averaged 85.0 points per game (1,869 points/22 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 74.8

Toledo is shooting 48% (1,689/3,497) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 44%

Akron Defensive Stats & Trends:

Akron has averaged 25.1 defensive rebounds per game (552 rebounds/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Akron has averaged 6.1 steals per game (341 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Akron has averaged 24.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,377 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Akron has allowed 6.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 7.7

Toledo Defensive Stats & Trends:

Toledo has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,489 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Toledo has 343 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among Mid-American Teams

Toledo has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,489 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Toledo has averaged 7.0 steals per game (154 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.