Alabama vs Oklahoma Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 11:14 AM
  • Alabama (18-2) are -5.5 point favorites vs Oklahoma (11-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Alabama Crimson Tide (18-2) visit Lloyd Noble Center to take on the Oklahoma Sooners (11-9) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Norman.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Alabama vs. Oklahoma Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Alabama vs. Oklahoma Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama-5.5 -110144.5 -110-250
Oklahoma +5.5 -110144.5 -110+195

Alabama vs Oklahoma Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alabama will win this game with 62.6% confidence.

Alabama vs Oklahoma Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and Oklahoma, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games (+13.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+9.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.90 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 away games (+7.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.30 Units / 12% ROI)

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has gone 13-7 against the spread this college basketball season (+5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI).

  • 14-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.65 Units / 23.72% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting the Over for -2 Units / -9.09% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units / 0.45% ROI

Oklahoma Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Oklahoma has gone 8-10 against the spread this college basketball season (-3.05 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.45 Units / -31.5% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting the Over for -5.1 Units / -24.4% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.3 Units / 15.79% ROI

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has 647 defensive rebounds this season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has averaged 14.7 turnovers per game (486 turnovers/33 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.7

Alabama has attempted 1,579 threes since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has averaged 14.8 turnovers per game (296 turnovers/20 games) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.8

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma averaged 6.1 turnovers per game (110 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 4.2

Oklahoma had 110 turnovers in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Oklahoma had a TS% of 51% in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Oklahoma shot 47% (189/405) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 32.4 defensive rebounds per game (647 rebounds/20 games) this season — best among Power 5 Conference teams; League Avg: 25.8

Alabama has averaged 28.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,517 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Alabama has averaged 28.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,517 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Power 5 Conference teams; League Avg: 25.8

Alabama has averaged 6.5 steals per game (213 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.1

Oklahoma Defensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma has allowed 5.1 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Oklahoma allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (69 points/57 shots) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.95

Oklahoma allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (23/57) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Oklahoma has allowed 5.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.