- The Brewers are -145 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers
- Brewers starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Los Angeles Angels (+120) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-145) on Saturday, April 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Angels vs Brewers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 14-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 14-12 ATS.
Angels vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -115 | +120 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -105 | -145 |
Angels vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 55% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+9.40 Units / 85% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 68% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+7.30 Units / 122% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 17 games (+7.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Brewers vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
Brewers vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Brewers vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Christian Yelich | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Brewers vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes | 6.5 +110 | 6.5 -140 |
| Reid Detmers | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+5.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+3.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 26 games (+3.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.30 Units / 12% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 24 games (+4.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+3.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 12-15 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -13.97% ROI).
- 14-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -9.18% ROI
- 12-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -8.62% ROI
- 13-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.68% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 14-12 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 7.43% ROI).
- 17-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.4 Units / 22.16% ROI
- 11-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -5 Units / -17.09% ROI
- 14-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.95 Units / 6.96% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (23/67) against Reid Detmers on changeups since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 34% (109/318) against Reid Detmers since last season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (65/192) against Reid Detmers on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 63% (89/142) against Reid Detmers on sliders this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 66% of the time (23/35) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 63% of the time (170/271) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 70% of the time (191/271) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (588/913) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Angels are just 3-17 (.150) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 10-23 (.303) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 8-48 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Angels are just 6-16 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Brewers are 11-61 (.153) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Brewers are 20-11 (.645) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 12-1 (.923) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Brewers are just 9-40 (.184) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are just 3-17 (.150) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels hitters have 1,279 strikeouts in 4,891 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters are slugging just .198 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Angels are batting just .219 with two outs since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 69 strikeouts in 221 PA’s (31%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The Brewers are batting just .228 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .321 (5,167 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have walked 26 of 239 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Angels pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Brewers pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gus Varland (Brewers): Hand, D15
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D10
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D15
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Dennis Tepera (Angels): Shoulder, D15
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