- The Brewers are -125 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: José Suarez
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Los Angeles Angels (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on Sunday, April 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Angels vs Brewers Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 14-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 15-12 ATS.
Angels vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -175 | O 10 -115 | +105 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +145 | U 10 -105 | -125 |
Angels vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 59.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Taylor Ward has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+16.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+10.85 Units / 90% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.15 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 games (+8.45 Units / 121% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+8.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+6.65 Units / 21% ROI)
Brewers vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
Brewers vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Mike Trout | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Zach Neto | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Brewers vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Owen Miller | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| William Contreras | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Brewers vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Suarez | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
| Rea | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+4.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 27 games (+2.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (+5.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games (+4.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.95 Units / 14% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 12-16 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -17.84% ROI).
- 14-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -11.15% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -5.11% ROI
- 13-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -4.11% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 15-12 against the Run Line (+3.75 Units / 11.49% ROI).
- 18-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.4 Units / 24.14% ROI
- 12-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -4 Units / -13.16% ROI
- 14-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 3.1% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of .857 (42 Total Bases / 49 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .377 — 0 Percentile.
Jose Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of .773 (51 Total Bases / 66 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .420 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .429 (21-for-49) against Jose Suarez’s non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 0 Percentile.
Jose Suarez has allowed an OPS of 1.319 (53 PA’s) on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .656 — 0 Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea has induced opposing hitters to ground into 3 double plays in 10 opportunities (30%) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 18% (23/128) against Colin Rea this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 29% — third Percentile.
Colin Rea has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 49% (21/43) of opposing batters this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 18% (265/1,446) against Marco Gonzales in 2022 — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Angels are just 3-17 (.150) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 6-16 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Angels are just 20-10 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Brewers are 20-11 (.645) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 13-1 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Brewers are 4-5 (.444) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Brewers are 9-2 (.818) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels are just 3-17 (.150) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .262 (522 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Angels hitters have just 52 strikeouts in 279 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels hitters are slugging just .194 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .228 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (720 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Brewers hitters have 515 strikeouts in 1,953 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .321 (5,182 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 28 of 247 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Angels pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels pitchers have walked 57 of 533 batters (11%) over the last 14 days (14 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Brewers pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gus Varland (Brewers): Hand, D15
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D60
- Matthew Bush (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D15
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Dennis Tepera (Angels): Shoulder, D15
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