- The Cubs are -120 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers, 0.00 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon, 10.80 ERA
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Los Angeles Angels (+100) visit Sloan Park to take on the Chicago Cubs (-120) on Saturday, March 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Mesa.
The Cubs are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Angels vs Cubs Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Angels are 4-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 3-2 ATS.
Angels vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -175 | O 11 -105 | +100 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +145 | U 11 -115 | -120 |
Angels vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s Spring Training matchup with 59.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Angels vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+5.90 Units / 79% ROI)
- Max Stassi has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.60 Units / 115% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jack Mayfield has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 94% ROI)
- Jack Mayfield has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Singles Over in his last 3 games (+4.05 Units / 135% ROI)
- Frank Schwindel has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nick Madrigal has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+0.90 Units / 18% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 118 games (+21.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 101 games (+7.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 games (+5.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 85 games (+19.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 48 games (+17.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+16.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 108 games (+16.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+16.35 Units / 65% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 4-3 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 15.95% ROI).
- 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 18.89% ROI
- 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -19.11% ROI
- 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.8 Units / 10.53% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 3-2 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 13.64% ROI).
- 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 30.88% ROI
- 2-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -35.34% ROI
- 4-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 29.01% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reid Detmers has not allowed a HR in any of his last seven games started dating back to August 20th, 2022 — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 12.
Reid Detmers has not allowed a home run in any of the last 39.2 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 67.1.
Reid Detmers threw breaking pitches 55% of the time (294/539) on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 99th Percentile.
Reid Detmers allowed a slugging percentage of just .275 (22 Total Bases / 80 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .437 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon walked 8 of 269 batters (3%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon allowed a slugging percentage of .286 (101 Total Bases / 353 ABs) with two-strikes last season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 11th Percentile.
Opponents batted .412 (33-for-80) against Jameson Taillon on the first pitch of at-bats last season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .338 — eighth Percentile.
Jameson Taillon walked 10 of 408 right-handed batters (3%) last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Angels are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 3-68 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Angels are just 8-55 (.127) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Angels are just 8-38 (.174) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Cubs are just 9-41 (.180) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Cubs are just 37-44 (.457) at home last season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Cubs are just 13-43 (.232) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Cubs are just 19-106 (.152) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .643 (3,666 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
The Angels are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .273 (909 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Angels hitters struck out 1,103 times in 4,134 PA’s (27%) against RHP last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 54 double plays in 386 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Cubs hitters slugged just .185 in lefty-lefty matchups last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.
The Cubs batted .371 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Cubs are batting just .153 with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 1,132 of 12,234 batters (9%) since the start of the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Angels have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Angels pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games at home last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 1,137 of 12,365 batters (9%) since the start of the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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