- The Dodgers are -175 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers, 2.07 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw, – ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Los Angeles Angels (+145) visit Camelback Ranch to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) on Friday, March 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Phoenix.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Angels vs Dodgers Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
During Spring Training, the Angels are 7-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 4-6 ATS.
Angels vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -150 | O 9.5 -105 | +145 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +125 | U 9.5 -115 | -175 |
Angels vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s Spring Training matchup with 65.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jo Adell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+1.60 Units / 14% ROI)
- Juan Lagares has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 10% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+3.85 Units / 77% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+0.25 Units / 3% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 73 of their last 118 games (+21.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 101 games (+7.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 games (+5.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 163 games (+25.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+18.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 90 of their last 162 games (+17.65 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 93 games (+14.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 6-5 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 9.81% ROI).
- 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 28.21% ROI
- 3-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -47.95% ROI
- 8-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.8 Units / 39.83% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 4-6 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -16.98% ROI).
- 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -1.35% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -12.67% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 6.39% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reid Detmers has not allowed a HR in any of his last seven games started dating back to August 20th, 2022 — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 12.
Reid Detmers has not allowed a home run in any of the last 39.2 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 67.1.
Reid Detmers threw breaking pitches 55% of the time (294/539) on the first pitch of at-bats last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 99th Percentile.
Reid Detmers allowed a slugging percentage of just .275 (22 Total Bases / 80 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .437 — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 64% of the time (448/706) when he’s behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 64% of the time (450/706) when behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 39% (121/312) against Clayton Kershaw when he’s behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 38% (142/372) against Clayton Kershaw when he’s behind in the count since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Angels are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 3-68 (.042) when trailing entering the 8th inning last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Angels are just 8-55 (.127) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Angels are just 8-38 (.174) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Dodgers are 25-89 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
The Dodgers are 100-20 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Dodgers are 124-68 (.646) on the road since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .643 (3,666 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
The Angels are just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .273 (909 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Angels hitters struck out 1,103 times in 4,134 PA’s (27%) against RHP last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters had an OBP of .337 (4,473 PA’s) against RHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Dodgers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (8,886 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .764 (3,757 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 1,132 of 12,234 batters (9%) since the start of the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Angels have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Angels pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.80 (1435.1 IP) on the road since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 2.54 (718.1 IP) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
The Dodgers allowed 2.90 runs per game (235/81) on the road last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH since the start of the 2021 season (7,469 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Dodgers vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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