Angels vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 13

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 13, 2023, 9:04 AM
  • The Angels are -125 favorites vs the Guardians
  • Angels starting pitcher: Reid Detmers
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Los Angeles Angels (-125) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+105) on Saturday, May 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Angels vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Angels are 21-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 15-23 ATS.

Angels vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels-1.5 +135O 8 +100-125
Guardians +1.5 -160U 8 -120+105

Angels vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+11.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+10.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.05 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 37 games (+16.95 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 38 games (+14.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+9.75 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+6.00 Units / 113% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in their last 5 away games (+5.30 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 31 games (+16.25 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 22 games (+14.75 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+1.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 19-20 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -6.09% ROI).

  • 21-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -3.16% ROI
  • 18-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -5.17% ROI
  • 18-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -4.01% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 15-23 against the Run Line (-9.6 Units / -20.25% ROI).

  • 17-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.85 Units / -21.15% ROI
  • 12-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.35 Units / -34.37% ROI
  • 24-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.9 Units / 26.01% ROI

Opponents have a swing rate of 62% (137/221) against Reid Detmers on sliders this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 97th Percentile.

Reid Detmers has thrown fastballs up 73% of the time (162/223) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.

Reid Detmers has thrown inside pitches 53% of the time (53/101) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Reid Detmers has allowed an OBP of .536 (28 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .325 — second Percentile.

Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 12% (21 SO in 170 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has struck out just 9% (8/94) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strike rate of just 56% (171/305) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 11% (18/168) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

keys to the game – away

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Guardians are 21-70 (.231) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Guardians are 15-74 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .089.

The Guardians are 21-48 (.304) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .197.

The Guardians are 5-13 (.278) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .148.

team hitters – away

Guardians hitters have just 985 strikeouts in 5,539 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .345 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .633 (1,427 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .727.

Guardians hitters have just 1,408 strikeouts in 7,590 PA’s (19%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

team pitchers – away

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Guardians pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 20 of 345 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 108 of 1,444 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Michael Zunino (Guardians): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
  • Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Aaron Loup (Angels): Hamstring, D15
  • José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
  • Chad Wallach (Angels): Neck, D7
  • Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
  • José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
  • José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.