- The – are favorites vs the –
- Angels starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee
- Watch the game on Peacock
The Los Angeles Angels () visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians () on Sunday, May 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 11:35am EDT in Cleveland.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Angels vs Guardians Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 21-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 16-23 ATS.
Angels vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | O | ||
| Guardians | U |
Angels vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Angels vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+12.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+9.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+9.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 38 games (+17.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 39 games (+15.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 26 games (+10.05 Units / 38% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 22 games (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI)
Guardians vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.25 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.75 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.30 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 54% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 32 games (+15.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 23 games (+13.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 19-21 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -7.93% ROI).
- 21-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.1 Units / -5.18% ROI
- 19-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -2.8% ROI
- 18-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -6.34% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 16-23 against the Run Line (-8.6 Units / -17.57% ROI).
- 18-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -18.74% ROI
- 13-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.35 Units / -31.12% ROI
- 24-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.85 Units / 22.93% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Sandoval has walked 24 of 193 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has allowed a slugging percentage of just .089 (5 Total Bases / 56 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .317 — 100th Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval has thrown his changeup 42% of the time (370/877) with two-strikes since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .189 (23-for-122) against Patrick Sandoval this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 92nd Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (11/43) against Tanner Bibee over the last 30 days (3 games) — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (14/43) against Tanner Bibee over the last 30 days (3 games) — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Angels are just 5-17 (.227) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are 3-16 (.158) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Angels are just 18-2 (.900) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Guardians are 16-74 (.178) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Guardians are 22-70 (.239) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Guardians are 6-13 (.316) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .148.
The Guardians were 16-57 (.219) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .263 (566 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Angels hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 104 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of .350 (411 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Angels hitters have 1,357 strikeouts in 5,261 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 989 strikeouts in 5,555 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .346 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .334 against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 39 of 355 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have walked 161 of 1,795 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have allowed a run just 25% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 23% in close and late situations since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 20 of 354 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Guardians pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 108 of 1,814 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Oblique, D15
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Aaron Loup (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Chad Wallach (Angels): Neck, D7
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Groin, Day-to-Day
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Angels vs Guardians and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
