- The Angels are -125 favorites vs the Orioles
- Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez
- Watch the game on MASN
The Los Angeles Angels (-125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+105) on Monday, May 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Angels vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 21-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 25-15 ATS.
Angels vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -115 | -125 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -165 | U 8 -105 | +105 |
Angels vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+10.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 22 away games (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+8.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+15.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+8.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 41% ROI)
Orioles vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Orioles vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Orioles vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
Orioles vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
| Grayson Rodriguez | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.30 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.50 Units / 29% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+6.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.40 Units / 66% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 20-21 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -5.76% ROI).
- 21-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -6.74% ROI
- 19-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -5.03% ROI
- 19-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -3.93% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 25-15 against the Run Line (+9 Units / 18.22% ROI).
- 26-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.7 Units / 19.67% ROI
- 20-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 1.37% ROI
- 18-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -8.56% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .143 (22-for-154) against Shohei Ohtani this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 41% (54/131) against Shohei Ohtani this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has a strikeout rate of 36% (66 SO in 182 PAs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of .916 against RHP since last season — eighth best in MLB– 94th Percentile. Adam Frazier has an OPS of just .635 (549 PAs) against RHP since last season — eighth worst in MLB– sixth Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grayson Rodriguez had a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (12/25) — tied for 4th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed an OPS of 1.135 (35 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .726 — second Percentile.
Opponents batted .318 (7-for-22) against Grayson Rodriguez — 5th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .219 — fifth Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of .457 (35 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .312 — second Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Angels are just 5-17 (.227) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 21-10 (.677) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Angels are just 8-16 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 10-51 (.164) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Orioles are 34-9 (.791) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .650.
The Orioles are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Orioles are 8-10 (.444) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Orioles are 16-78 (.170) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 104 total hits (just 25%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Angels hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 123 total hits (just 21%) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .264 (572 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Angels are just 5-17 (.227) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .164 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Orioles hitters are slugging .454 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .809 (531 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .743.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .354 (531 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels pitchers have walked 39 of 363 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Angels pitchers have walked 161 of 1,803 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 280 of 3,225 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .128 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 61% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.68 (1441.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.
Orioles vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ramón UrÃas (Orioles): Hamstring, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
- Aaron Loup (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Chad Wallach (Angels): Neck, D7
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Groin, Day-to-Day
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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