- The Orioles are -155 favorites vs the Angels
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Los Angeles Angels (+130) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-155) on Wednesday, May 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Angels vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Angels are 22-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 26-16 ATS.
Angels vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -105 | +130 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -115 | -155 |
Angels vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mike Trout has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mickey Moniak has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 away games (+7.10 Units / 141% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+16.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+8.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+8.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+8.30 Units / 36% ROI)
Orioles vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Orioles vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Orioles vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Zach Neto | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Orioles vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Kyle Bradish | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+3.75 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 away games (+2.95 Units / 38% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 games (+11.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+9.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+5.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.25 Units / 32% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 21-22 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -5.77% ROI).
- 22-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.1 Units / -6.51% ROI
- 20-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -2.71% ROI
- 19-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -5.9% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 26-16 against the Run Line (+8.75 Units / 16.83% ROI).
- 27-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.65 Units / 18.72% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 3.47% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -10.32% ROI
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to April 19th — Corey Kluber has the longest active streak at 10.
Hitters have chased just 22 of Griffin Canning’s 95 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 23%) this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 10th Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown off-speed pitches 67% of the time (272/409) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total NonFB; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown breaking pitches 53% of the time (109/207) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days (4 games) — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 91st Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Division opponents are hitting .338 (93-for-275) against Kyle Bradish since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .246 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .417 (30-for-72) against Kyle Bradish on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .340 — eighth Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 67% (10/15) against Kyle Bradish — tied for 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to April 25th — Cristian Javier has the longest active streak at 6.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Angels are just 5-17 (.227) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are 3-18 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Angels are just 18-4 (.818) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Angels are just 10-51 (.164) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Orioles are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Orioles are 16-79 (.168) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Orioles are 6-11 (.353) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Orioles are 27-15 (.643) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have just 81 strikeouts in 421 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have 1,378 strikeouts in 5,367 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .306 (959 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .264 (575 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .453 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .806 (542 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 64% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels pitchers have walked 40 of 380 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (1,049 batted balls) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .135 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 55% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 27 of 378 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ramón UrÃas (Orioles): Hamstring, D10
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
- Aaron Loup (Angels): Hamstring, D15
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Groin, D10
- Joseph Davidson (Angels): Leg, Day-to-Day
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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