- The Angels (52-68) are -200 favorites vs the Tigers (46-76)
- Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani (10-7), 2.69 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez (1-3), 4.38 ERA
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Los Angeles Angels (-200) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+165) on Sunday, August 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Angels are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).
The Angels vs Tigers Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 52-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 54-67 ATS.
Angels vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Angels | -1.5 -110 | O 6.5 +100 | -200 |
Tigers | +1.5 -110 | U 6.5 -120 | +165 |
Angels vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 42 of his last 49 games (+28.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 37 of his last 54 games (+20.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 46 games (+15.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 36 away games (+13.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 24 away games (+12.95 Units / 45% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Akil Baddoo has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+8.10 Units / 45% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- No trends found
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+6.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 68 games (+6.55 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 54% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 55-63 against the Run Line (-12.3 Units / -8.42% ROI).
- 52-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -27.2 Units / -17.66% ROI
- 52-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -9.86% ROI
- 59-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 2.05% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 54-67 against the Run Line (-22.7 Units / -14.97% ROI).
- 45-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.85 Units / -12.42% ROI
- 42-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -32.05 Units / -24.1% ROI
- 68-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.25 Units / 16.62% ROI
Shohei Ohtani: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shohei Ohtani is slugging 1.170 (62 total bases in 53 ABs) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .611 — 98th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.755 (225 PA’s) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.148 — 98th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.899 (96 PA’s) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.102 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 39% (136/346) against Shohei Ohtani this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 378.2 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 399.4
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of 2020 is 378.2 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 169 total IP; League Avg: 399.9
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez since the start of last season is 385.9 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 399.2
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .383 (36 GB hits out of 94 GBs) against Eduardo Rodriguez with runners on base since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 0 Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Angels are just 2-9 (.182) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 6-30 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Angels are just 4-10 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 6-31 (.162) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Tigers are 5-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Tigers are just 4-22 (.154) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .288.
The Tigers are just 20-42 (.323) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Tigers are just 6-60 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 831 strikeouts in 3,086 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .639 (3,202 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
The Angels are batting just .215 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Angels are batting just .232 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .314 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .272 (3,270 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .590 (1,385 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .682.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .313 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Angels pitchers have walked 987 of 10,679 batters (9%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Angels have won just 25% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Schoop (Tigers): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- McKenzie Moniak (Angels): Finger, D10
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D60
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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