Arizona State vs USC Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2023, 11:53 AM
  • USC (22-9) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Arizona State (21-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Arizona State Sun Devils (21-11) visit T-Mobile Arena to take on the USC Trojans (22-9) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 11:30pm EST in Paradise.

USC is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Arizona State vs. USC Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Arizona State vs. USC Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arizona State+3.5 -110O 139.5 -110+145
USC -3.5 -110U 139.5 -110-175

Arizona State vs USC Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 57.8% confidence.

Arizona State vs USC Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arizona State and USC, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Arizona State has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 44 games (+23.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Arizona State has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Arizona State have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 24 away games (+3.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games at home (+18.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • USC have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • USC have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Arizona State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arizona State has gone 14-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.75 Units / -16.36% ROI).

  • 21-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.15 Units / 8.21% ROI
  • 16-16 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 16-16 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

USC Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

USC has gone 17-14 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI).

  • 21-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.15 Units / 10.39% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -7.62% ROI

Arizona State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona State has averaged 1.16 points per shot (2,157 points/1,857 shots) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Arizona State has a TS% of 45% this season — 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Arizona State is shooting 42% (1,353/3,242) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%

Arizona State has averaged 1.13 points per shot (3,669 points/3,242 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.24

USC Offensive Stats & Trends:

USC is shooting 37% from three (180/481) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

USC is shooting 66% from the free throw line (234/357) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 71%

USC is shooting 46% (576/1,251) this season — 3rd best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 44%

USC is shooting 68% from the free throw line (299/441) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Arizona State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arizona State has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (620 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Arizona State has averaged 7.1 steals per game (164 steals/23 games) this season — 4th best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Arizona State has averaged 6.9 steals per game (213 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Arizona State has 164 steals this season — 4th most among Pac 12 Teams

USC Defensive Stats & Trends:

USC has averaged 27.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,535 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

USC has 161 steals this season — 5th most among Pac 12 Teams

USC has averaged 7.3 steals per game (161 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

USC has averaged 5.9 steals per game (184 steals/31 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd lowest among Pac 12 Teams; League Avg: 6.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.