Arkansas vs Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 07, 2023, 1:20 PM
  • Kentucky (16-7) are -5.5 point favorites vs Arkansas (16-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Arkansas Razorbacks (16-7) visit Rupp Arena to take on the Kentucky Wildcats (16-7) on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Lexington.

Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Arkansas vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Arkansas vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas+5.5 -105O 138.5 -110+180
Kentucky -5.5 -115U 138.5 -110-225

Arkansas vs Kentucky Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this game with 61.4% confidence.

Arkansas vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas and Kentucky, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 50 games (+19.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+19.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+10.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Arkansas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 games (+9.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Arkansas have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+8.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Kentucky have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has gone 11-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.05 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 2.93% ROI
  • 7-15 when betting the Over for -9.5 Units / -37.55% ROI
  • 15-7 when betting the Under for +7.3 Units / 28.85% ROI

Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has gone 10-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.3 Units / -17% ROI).

  • 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.8 Units / -23.06% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Over for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Under for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has made 5.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas has a 38% free throw rate (1,318 free throw attempts/3,505 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

Arkansas has made 5.8 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

Arkansas is shooting 25% from three (44/174) in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky is shooting 46% (810/1,757) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Kentucky is shooting 38% from three (246/653) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (909 assists/ 648 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (296 assists/ 257 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 0.9

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has averaged 8.7 steals per game (192 steals/22 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Arkansas has averaged 8.8 steals per game (343 steals/39 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Arkansas has averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,589 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Arkansas has averaged 8.0 steals per game (473 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (3,733 points/3,275 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (3,733 points/3,275 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Kentucky has allowed 33.2 points per game (731 points/22 games) in the second half this season — 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 35.4

Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (1,899 points/1,587 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.26


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.