Arkansas State vs Louisiana Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2023, 2:38 PM
  • Louisiana (21-7) is a -14.5 point favorite vs Arkansas State (11-18)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-18) visit Cajundome to take on the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (21-7) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Lafayette.

Louisiana is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Arkansas State vs. Louisiana Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Arkansas State vs. Louisiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas State+14.5 -110O 137.5 -110+800
Louisiana -14.5 -110U 137.5 -110-1400

Arkansas State vs Louisiana Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Louisiana will win this game with 75.0% confidence.

Arkansas State vs Louisiana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Louisiana will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas State and Louisiana, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Louisiana vs Arkansas State and all games with BetMGM


  • Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Arkansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+14.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Louisiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 30 of their last 49 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Louisiana have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.90 Units / 60% ROI)

Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas State has gone 10-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-6.5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 8-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -18.56% ROI
  • 10-16 when betting the Over for -7.6 Units / -26.57% ROI
  • 16-10 when betting the Under for +5 Units / 17.48% ROI

Louisiana Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisiana has gone 13-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 18-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.15 Units / 15.05% ROI
  • 16-8 when betting the Over for +7.2 Units / 26.18% ROI
  • 8-16 when betting the Under for -9.6 Units / -34.91% ROI

Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 65.0 points per game (1,561 points/24 games) this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Arkansas State has averaged 65.0 points per game (1,561 points/24 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 72.3

Arkansas State has averaged 1.17 points per shot (1,561 points/1,334 shots) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Arkansas State has made 6.0 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Louisiana Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana has averaged 1.37 points per shot (1,849 points/1,348 shots) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Louisiana is shooting 40% from three (178/444) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 33%

Louisiana is shooting 49% (666/1,348) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 45%

Louisiana has averaged 80.4 points per game (1,849 points/23 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas State has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (562 rebounds/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Arkansas State has 392 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among Sunbelt Teams

Arkansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (567/1,284) this season — 2nd highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 42%

Arkansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,289/2,969) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 42%

Louisiana Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisiana has averaged 24.3 defensive rebounds per game (558 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 23.7

Louisiana has averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,352 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.0

Louisiana has allowed 6.2 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 6.9

Louisiana has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (142/410) this season — 3rd highest among Sunbelt Teams ; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.