- The Royals (39-58) are -135 favorites vs the Angels (41-56)
- Angels starting pitcher: Janson Junk (0-0), 0.00 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller (5-10), 4.16 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Los Angeles Angels (+110) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-135) on Wednesday, July 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Royals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Angels vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Angels are 41-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 44-53 ATS.
Angels vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Angels | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -105 | +110 |
| Royals | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -115 | -135 |
Angels vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 65.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 26 games (+21.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 34 away games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 away games (+10.95 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+15.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 49 games at home (+12.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 52 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+11.45 Units / 27% ROI)
Royals vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
Royals vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Royals vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Royals vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brad Keller | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Angels Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 46 of their last 84 games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+6.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.50 Units / 34% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+14.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+9.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 47 games at home (+6.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 games (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 44-53 against the Run Line (-13.35 Units / -11.26% ROI).
- 41-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.25 Units / -20.52% ROI
- 44-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.85 Units / -8.22% ROI
- 48-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.09% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 44-53 against the Run Line (-18.3 Units / -14.25% ROI).
- 39-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.65 Units / -12.09% ROI
- 46-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -5.21% ROI
- 47-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -3.4% ROI
Janson Junk: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Brad Keller: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brad Keller has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (234/430) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 16% (68 SO in 430 PAs) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (20/128) against Brad Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 20% (82/412) against Brad Keller this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Angels are just 4-28 (.125) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Angels are just 19-29 (.396) on the road this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Angels are just 5-30 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Angels are just 3-41 (.068) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Royals are just 2-25 (.074) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Royals are just 31-6 (.838) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Royals are just 4-44 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Royals are 5-3 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 686 strikeouts in 2,533 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Angels are batting just .231 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .300 (1,159 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Angels hitters have 944 strikeouts in 3,584 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 507 strikeouts in 2,699 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have just 179 strikeouts in 1,006 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .350 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Royals hitters have a swing rate of 67% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have walked 11 of 79 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have walked 77 of 856 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Robert Witt Jr. (Royals): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
- Jonathan Heasley (Royals): Shoudler, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Thumb, Day-to-Day
- Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Michael Trout (Angels): Back, D10
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
- Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
- Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
- Jordon Adell (Angels): Arm, Day-to-Day
- Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
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