Angels vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 27

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 27, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Royals (39-58) are -135 favorites vs the Angels (41-56)
  • Angels starting pitcher: Janson Junk (0-0), 0.00 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller (5-10), 4.16 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Los Angeles Angels (+110) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-135) on Wednesday, July 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Royals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Angels vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Angels are 41-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 44-53 ATS.

Angels vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Angels+1.5 -175O 8.5 -105+110
Royals -1.5 +145U 8.5 -115-135

Angels vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 65.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Angels and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Angels and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Angels Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 26 games (+21.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 34 away games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Mike Trout has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 away games (+10.95 Units / 46% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 31 games (+15.15 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 49 games at home (+12.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 52 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+11.45 Units / 27% ROI)

Royals vs Angels Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
MJ Melendez 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Nicky Lopez 0.5 +1150 0.5

Royals vs Angels Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
MJ Melendez 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Nicky Lopez 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

Royals vs Angels RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
MJ Melendez 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Nicky Lopez 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Royals vs Angels Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brad Keller 3.5 -175 3.5 +125
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 46 of their last 84 games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+6.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+14.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+9.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 47 games at home (+6.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 games (+6.05 Units / 15% ROI)

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 44-53 against the Run Line (-13.35 Units / -11.26% ROI).

  • 41-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.25 Units / -20.52% ROI
  • 44-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.85 Units / -8.22% ROI
  • 48-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.09% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 44-53 against the Run Line (-18.3 Units / -14.25% ROI).

  • 39-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.65 Units / -12.09% ROI
  • 46-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -5.21% ROI
  • 47-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -3.4% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Brad Keller: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brad Keller has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (234/430) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 16% (68 SO in 430 PAs) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (20/128) against Brad Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 20% (82/412) against Brad Keller this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Angels are just 4-28 (.125) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

The Angels are just 19-29 (.396) on the road this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Angels are just 5-30 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.

The Angels are just 3-41 (.068) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Royals are just 2-25 (.074) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

The Royals are just 31-6 (.838) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Royals are just 4-44 (.083) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Royals are 5-3 (.625) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Angels hitters have 686 strikeouts in 2,533 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Angels are batting just .231 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .300 (1,159 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Angels hitters have 944 strikeouts in 3,584 PA’s (26%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have just 507 strikeouts in 2,699 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have just 179 strikeouts in 1,006 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters are slugging just .350 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Royals hitters have a swing rate of 67% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Angels pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Angels pitchers have walked 11 of 79 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Royals pitchers have walked 77 of 856 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals vs. Angels Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Robert Witt Jr. (Royals): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
  • Jonathan Heasley (Royals): Shoudler, D15
  • Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D15
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10
  • Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Thumb, Day-to-Day
  • Michael Lorenzen (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • Michael Trout (Angels): Back, D10
  • Anthony Rendon (Angels): Wrist, D60
  • Matthew Duffy (Angels): Back, D10
  • Archie Bradley (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Jordon Adell (Angels): Arm, Day-to-Day
  • Jimmy Herget (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Angels and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.