- The Guardians (28-26) are -130 favorites vs the Athletics (20-40)
- Athletics starting pitcher: , ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: , ERA
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Oakland Athletics (+110) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-130) on Saturday, June 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Athletics vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 20-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 29-25 ATS.
Athletics vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 -110 | +110 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -110 | -130 |
Athletics vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s matchup with 72.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+12.60 Units / 70% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+6.65 Units / 95% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.25 Units / 35% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 27 away games (+13.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 27 away games (+6.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 27 away games (+5.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 52 games (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 23 games (+5.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.15 Units / 27% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 28-32 against the Run Line (-12.7 Units / -15.89% ROI).
- 20-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.65 Units / -23.11% ROI
- 26-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.65 Units / -11.4% ROI
- 30-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 2.06% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 29-25 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 4.3% ROI).
- 28-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 3.19% ROI
- 26-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -3.08% ROI
- 25-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -5.93% ROI
: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Frankie Montas has walked 5 of 136 right-handed batters (4%) this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 89th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 38% (117/312) against Frankie Montas when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .159 (21-for-132) against Frankie Montas’ non-fastballs this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — 89th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .195 (25-for-128) against Frankie Montas this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 88th Percentile.
: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Plesac has allowed an OPS of 1.172 (43 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — first Percentile.
Zach Plesac has allowed a slugging percentage of .730 (27 Total Bases / 37 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .368 — first Percentile.
Zach Plesac has located his pitches away 61% of the time (145/238) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 97th Percentile.
Zach Plesac has allowed at least one HR in each of his last seven games dating back to April 27th — Kyle Bradish has the longest active streak at 8.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Athletics are just 14-5 (.737) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Athletics are just 16-4 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Athletics are just 7-24 (.226) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Athletics are just 1-16 (.059) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Guardians are 4-21 (.160) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Guardians are 17-1 (.944) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Guardians are just 13-17 (.433) on the road this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Guardians are 20-2 (.909) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 23% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .275 (2,147 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
The Athletics are batting just .199 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .297 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians hitters have just 62 strikeouts in 492 PA’s (13%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have just 256 strikeouts in 1,473 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .328 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
The Athletics have won just 12% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 627 of 8,315 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Athletics pitchers have walked 158 of 2,480 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .192 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Guardians vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
- Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15
- Skye Bolt (Athletics): Oblique, D60
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Chadwick Pinder (Athletics): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Calf, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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