Athletics vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 11, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Guardians (28-26) are -130 favorites vs the Athletics (20-40)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Oakland Athletics (+110) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-130) on Saturday, June 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Athletics vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 20-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 29-25 ATS.

Athletics vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -200O 7.5 -110+110
Guardians -1.5 +165U 7.5 -110-130

Athletics vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s matchup with 72.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+12.60 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 away games (+6.65 Units / 95% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Myles Straw has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+5.45 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 27 away games (+13.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 27 away games (+6.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 27 away games (+5.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 26 of their last 52 games (+5.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 23 games (+5.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.15 Units / 27% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 28-32 against the Run Line (-12.7 Units / -15.89% ROI).

  • 20-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.65 Units / -23.11% ROI
  • 26-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.65 Units / -11.4% ROI
  • 30-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 2.06% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 29-25 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 4.3% ROI).

  • 28-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 3.19% ROI
  • 26-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -3.08% ROI
  • 25-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -5.93% ROI

Frankie Montas has walked 5 of 136 right-handed batters (4%) this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 89th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 38% (117/312) against Frankie Montas when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .159 (21-for-132) against Frankie Montas’ non-fastballs this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — 89th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .195 (25-for-128) against Frankie Montas this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 88th Percentile.

: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zach Plesac has allowed an OPS of 1.172 (43 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — first Percentile.

Zach Plesac has allowed a slugging percentage of .730 (27 Total Bases / 37 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .368 — first Percentile.

Zach Plesac has located his pitches away 61% of the time (145/238) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 97th Percentile.

Zach Plesac has allowed at least one HR in each of his last seven games dating back to April 27th — Kyle Bradish has the longest active streak at 8.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Athletics are just 14-5 (.737) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Athletics are just 16-4 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.

The Athletics are just 7-24 (.226) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Athletics are just 1-16 (.059) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Guardians are 4-21 (.160) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .074.

The Guardians are 17-1 (.944) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.

The Guardians are just 13-17 (.433) on the road this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.

The Guardians are 20-2 (.909) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 23% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .275 (2,147 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

The Athletics are batting just .199 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .297 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Guardians hitters have just 62 strikeouts in 492 PA’s (13%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have just 256 strikeouts in 1,473 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .328 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.

The Athletics have won just 12% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 627 of 8,315 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Athletics have won just 25% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Athletics pitchers have walked 158 of 2,480 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Guardians have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 41%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .192 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

Guardians vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Karinchak (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Carlos Vargas (Guardians): Undisclosed, D60
  • Franmil Reyes (Guardians): Hamstring, D10
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Left Glute, D15
  • Skye Bolt (Athletics): Oblique, D60
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Chadwick Pinder (Athletics): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Stephen Piscotty (Athletics): Calf, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.