Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 4

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 04, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The (71-33) are favorites vs the (71-33)
  • Cubs starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: , ERA
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The Chicago Cubs () visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals () on Thursday, August 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Cubs vs Cardinals Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cubs are 41-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 56-47 ATS.

Cubs vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cubs O
Cardinals U

Cubs vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s matchup with 69.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Cubs and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Michael Hermosillo has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.60 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Michael Hermosillo has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.30 Units / 61% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Juan Yepez has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.55 Units / 68% ROI)

Cardinals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Paul DeJong 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 +375 0.5 -650

Cardinals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Carlson 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Paul DeJong 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Cardinals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Carlson 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Paul DeJong 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 +160 0.5 -225

Cardinals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Miles Mikolas 4.5 -160 4.5 +115
Marcus Stroman 4.5 +110 4.5 -155
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 55 of their last 101 games (+10.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 75 games (+5.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 away games (+5.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 45 of their last 80 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 98 games (+7.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.80 Units / 70% ROI)

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 52-50 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -5.37% ROI).

  • 41-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.75 Units / -13.91% ROI
  • 44-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -11.57% ROI
  • 52-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 3.47% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 56-47 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 4.73% ROI).

  • 55-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 0.49% ROI
  • 47-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -9.53% ROI
  • 52-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.5 Units / 0.44% ROI

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .115 (10 GB hits out of 87 GBs) against Marcus Stroman this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (34/107) against Marcus Stroman this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 29% (58/199) against Marcus Stroman this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (656/1,821) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 98th Percentile.

: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .231 (12-for-52) against Miles Mikolas on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .336 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (68/402) against Miles Mikolas this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has a strikeout rate of just 18% (23 SO in 125 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (188/1,003) against Miles Mikolas this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Cubs are just 21-29 (.420) on the road this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Cubs are just 7-32 (.179) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.

The Cubs are just 5-27 (.156) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.

The Cubs are just 3-51 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Cardinals are just 1-42 (.023) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Cardinals are 32-7 (.821) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Cardinals are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 47-17 (.734) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 46 double plays in 312 opportunities (15%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .344 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.

Cubs hitters have 662 strikeouts in 2,651 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .376 (66 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .645.

Cardinals hitters have 200 extra-base hits out of 470 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .792 (2,034 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Cardinals are batting .344 at home over the last 14 days (1 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .345 (789 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 98 double plays in 753 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 922 of 9,855 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Andrelton Simmons (Cubs): Shoulder, D10
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.