- The Yankees (42-16) are -250 favorites vs the Cubs (23-34)
- Cubs starting pitcher: , ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: , ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The Chicago Cubs (+190) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-250) on Saturday, June 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Cubs vs Yankees Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cubs are 23-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 30-28 ATS.
Cubs vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 +100 | O 9 -120 | +190 |
| Yankees | -1.5 -120 | U 9 +100 | -250 |
Cubs vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s matchup with 65.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Frank Schwindel has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+8.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 22 away games (+5.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+5.65 Units / 68% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+5.10 Units / 61% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+6.35 Units / 127% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Runs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.20 Units / 63% ROI)
- Josh Donaldson has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Aaron Hicks has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 70% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 15 away games (+11.30 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 32 of their last 56 games (+8.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+3.30 Units / 21% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 48 games (+18.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 57 games (+4.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 54 games (+3.60 Units / 6% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 31-26 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 0.86% ROI).
- 23-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -16.45% ROI
- 28-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -2.23% ROI
- 27-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -5.97% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 30-28 against the Run Line (+1.8 Units / 2.64% ROI).
- 42-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.95 Units / 13.71% ROI
- 25-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -14.67% ROI
- 31-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 5.74% ROI
: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Swarmer has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 12 innings — Clay Holmes has the longest active streak at 23.
Opponents batting in the heart of the order are hitting just .067 (1-for-15) against Matt Swarmer — tied for 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .242 — 98th Percentile.
Matt Swarmer had a first-pitch strike rate of 77% (17/22) — 7th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 63% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents batted just .100 (2-for-20) against Matt Swarmer — tied for 7th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .220 — 93rd Percentile.
: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .344 (11-for-32) against Jordan Montgomery’s elevated fastball this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — ninth Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has walked 10 of 237 batters (4%) this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 90th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has walked 1 of 41 batters (2%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of just .265 (9 Total Bases / 34 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .436 — 84th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Cubs are just 11-20 (.355) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Cubs are just 2-14 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Cubs are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Cubs are just 20-83 (.194) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Yankees are 24-7 (.774) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Yankees are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Yankees are 18-9 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Yankees are 16-3 (.842) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 263 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs are batting just .151 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Cubs hitters have 1,545 strikeouts in 5,943 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Cubs have a winning percentage of just 35% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees have a winning percentage of 77% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .602 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .440.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.114 (103 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs have won just 9% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 786 of 8,359 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs have won just 26% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 61% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Yankees have won 61% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Yankees vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Right Shoulder, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Oblique, D60
- Domingo Germán (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Achilles, D15
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Groin, Day-to-Day
- Todd Smyly (Cubs): Oblique, D15
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- David Bote (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Sean Newcomb (Cubs): Ankle, D15
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): COVID, D10
- Seiya Suzuki (Cubs): Finger, D10
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Marcus Stroman (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
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