- The Guardians (52-49) are -160 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (45-56)
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies (2-4), 3.93 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (7-5), 3.97 ERA
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-160) on Monday, August 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Diamondbacks vs Guardians Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 45-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 54-47 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -145 | O 9 -110 | +135 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +120 | U 9 -110 | -160 |
Diamondbacks vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s matchup with 67.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 37 of his last 62 games (+28.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 45 of his last 62 games (+18.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 54 games (+13.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 45 of his last 65 games (+13.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+9.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in his last 14 games at home (+14.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)
Guardians vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
Guardians vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -190 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -300 | 0.5 +200 |
Guardians vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Austin Hedges | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Franmil Reyes | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -145 |
Guardians vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 90 games (+14.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 23 games (+13.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+6.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+4.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 24 away games (+4.30 Units / 17% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 82 games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 61 games (+10.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 82 games (+7.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 58-43 against the Run Line (+11.95 Units / 9.14% ROI).
- 45-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -4.71% ROI
- 43-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.95 Units / -13.52% ROI
- 53-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 4.33% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 54-47 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 1.55% ROI).
- 52-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 4.64% ROI
- 48-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -2.42% ROI
- 46-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -6.2% ROI
Zachary Davies: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Davies has located his pitches away 70% of the time (236/336) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 21% (216/1,003) against Zach Davies on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Zach Davies has located his pitches away 61% of the time (634/1,044) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Davies has located his fastball away 64% of the time (412/645) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 30% (71 SO in 235 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (27/149) against Cal Quantrill on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has located his pitches away 62% of the time (499/809) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (77/500) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Diamondbacks are just 91-26 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-30 (.231) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 100-17 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Diamondbacks are just 47-111 (.297) on the road since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Guardians are 9-42 (.176) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Guardians are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 32-5 (.865) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Guardians are 36-3 (.923) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .189 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .206 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians hitters have just 702 strikeouts in 3,779 PA’s (19%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .327 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .619 (952 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
The Guardians have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .192 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .224.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .192 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua-Douglas Naylor (Guardians): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Owen Miller (Guardians): Forearm, Day-to-Day
- Oscar Gonzalez (Guardians): Ribs, D10
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Aaron Civale (Guardians): Wrist, D15
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D15
- Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
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