Diamondbacks vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 01, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Guardians (52-49) are -160 favorites vs the Diamondbacks (45-56)
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Davies (2-4), 3.93 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill (7-5), 3.97 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Arizona Diamondbacks (+135) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-160) on Monday, August 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Diamondbacks vs Guardians Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks are 45-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 54-47 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks+1.5 -145O 9 -110+135
Guardians -1.5 +120U 9 -110-160

Diamondbacks vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s matchup with 67.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs Diamondbacks and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 37 of his last 62 games (+28.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 45 of his last 62 games (+18.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 54 games (+13.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 45 of his last 65 games (+13.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Josh Rojas has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+9.40 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in his last 14 games at home (+14.00 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)

Guardians vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Austin Hedges 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Franmil Reyes 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +290 0.5 -500

Guardians vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 1.5 +135 1.5 -190
Andres Gimenez 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Austin Hedges 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
Franmil Reyes 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Jose Ramirez 0.5 -300 0.5 +200

Guardians vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Austin Hedges 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Franmil Reyes 0.5 +110 0.5 -160
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +105 0.5 -145

Guardians vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Quantrill 4.5 +110 4.5 -155
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 90 games (+14.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 23 games (+13.90 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 away games (+6.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+4.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 24 away games (+4.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 82 games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 61 games (+10.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 82 games (+7.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 58-43 against the Run Line (+11.95 Units / 9.14% ROI).

  • 45-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -4.71% ROI
  • 43-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.95 Units / -13.52% ROI
  • 53-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.85 Units / 4.33% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 54-47 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 1.55% ROI).

  • 52-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 4.64% ROI
  • 48-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -2.42% ROI
  • 46-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -6.2% ROI

Zach Davies has located his pitches away 70% of the time (236/336) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 21% (216/1,003) against Zach Davies on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.

Zach Davies has located his pitches away 61% of the time (634/1,044) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Zach Davies has located his fastball away 64% of the time (412/645) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Cal Quantrill: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 30% (71 SO in 235 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (27/149) against Cal Quantrill on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has located his pitches away 62% of the time (499/809) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (77/500) against Cal Quantrill this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Diamondbacks are just 91-26 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 9-30 (.231) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Diamondbacks are just 100-17 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Diamondbacks are just 47-111 (.297) on the road since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Guardians are 9-42 (.176) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Guardians are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians are 32-5 (.865) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Guardians are 36-3 (.923) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .189 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .206 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians hitters have just 702 strikeouts in 3,779 PA’s (19%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .327 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .619 (952 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Guardians have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .192 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .224.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .192 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joshua-Douglas Naylor (Guardians): Ankle, Day-to-Day
  • Owen Miller (Guardians): Forearm, Day-to-Day
  • Oscar Gonzalez (Guardians): Ribs, D10
  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Aaron Civale (Guardians): Wrist, D15
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D15
  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D15
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.