England vs. Wales Predictions, Odds, & Picks: World Cup 2022

min read
England's head coach Gareth Southgate watches play during the World Cup group B soccer match between England and The United States, at the Al Bayt Stadium in Al Khor.
AP Photo/Abbie Parr
Laura Paterson @ Nov 28, 2022, 5:09 PM
  • Wales needs a big win, while England only needs a draw.
  • Wales will push for goals and leave their midfield open.
  • England should win in a tightly contested, low-scoring match.

A fiery clash is expected when England and Wales face off on Tuesday, November 29. The Three Lions need at least a draw to advance, while Wales must win by a decent margin to advance to the Round of 16.

Will Wales cause the next big 2022 FIFA World Cup upset? Or will Southgate’s men advance as expected?

England vs. Wales ​​Prediction, World Cup:

The winning team model predicts England will win this Group B game with 55% confidence. The model also predicts a 31% chance of a tie/draw. 

» Get Win Predictions for Every World Cup Game

England vs. Wales Odds, Outrights, Over/Under

  • Match Result: England (-225) | Draw (+340) | Wales (+675)
  • Draw No Bet: England (-800) | Wales (+475)
  • Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (-135) | Under 2.5 (-105)

England vs. Wales Match Info

2022 World Cup — Group Stage (B)

Date: Tuesday, November 29

Time: 2:00 PM ET

Venue: Ahmed Bin Ali Stadium, Qatar

Coverage: FOX, Telemundo

England vs. Wales Analysis

After an emphatic opening display in their 6-2 win over Iran, England was back to its usual conservative self in a disappointing draw against a spirited USA team. 

Much has been made of Gareth Southgate’s team selection against the USA, and I’ll admit  I’m not a huge fan of his pragmatic approach, either. 

The team was screaming out for the likes of Phil Foden to bring some creativity into midfield, and I think Jack Grealish should have been brought on much earlier.

Regardless, Southgate was playing for a draw, and his team was lucky to get one. The USA was the better team for almost the entirety of the match, and USMNT was unfortunate not to score a couple of goals.

The Three Lions can almost smell the Round of 16, and I’m hoping that this will prompt Southgate into setting his team up with a more attacking-minded approach. Wales will have to push for a lot of goals here to advance, leaving the midfield perfectly primed for a player like Foden to thrive in the spaces.

Rob Page’s side hasn’t had the return to the tournament that they envisioned. They drew 1-1 with the USA due to a Gareth Bale penalty and were lucky to only concede two goals in their loss to Iran.

The Dragons undoubtedly have some talented attackers in Bale and Kieffer Moore, in particular. Still, they had no luck against an Iran team that allowed six of seven shots on target against England. 

Wales has to win this game by a massive margin if they want to advance to the Round of 16, and while they could get a goal, all I see this achieving is leaving space in the midfield that is ripe for the picking.

England struggled against an aggressive, high press from the USA, but Wales simply doesn’t have the players to achieve that. 

This England team doesn’t make it easy for itself but should take all three points and advance to the next round. It could be the end of the road for Wales.

England vs. Wales Game Result Odds

  • Match Result: England (-225)
  • Draw No Bet: England (-800)
  • Over/Under Goals: Under 2.5 (-105)
  • Player to Score and Their Team to Win the Match: Harry Maguire (+900)

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About the Author

Laura Paterson

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Laura is a dedicated in-house writer for The Media Image. An avid sports fan and field hockey player, she gets her fix through writing on a variety of sports for BetMGM.

Laura is a dedicated in-house writer for The Media Image. An avid sports fan and field hockey player, she gets her fix through writing on a variety of sports for BetMGM.