Mets vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 11

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 11, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Mets (39-21) are -145 favorites vs the Angels (28-32)
  • Mets starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Angels starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Mets (-145) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (+120) on Saturday, June 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:07pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Mets vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mets are 39-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 29-31 ATS.

Mets vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-1.5 +115O 8.5 +100-145
Angels +1.5 -135U 8.5 -120+120

Mets vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s matchup with 70.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Angels vs Mets and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Eduardo Escobar has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Eduardo Escobar has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Eduardo Escobar has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+6.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Eduardo Escobar has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 17 games (+5.50 Units / 32% ROI)

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jared Walsh has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Juan Lagares has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.40 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Juan Lagares has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Juan Lagares has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 60 games (+13.65 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 60 games (+13.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 60 games (+8.97 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+8.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 36-24 against the Run Line (+13.65 Units / 18.95% ROI).

  • 39-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.45 Units / 15.9% ROI
  • 31-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.1 Units / 4.61% ROI
  • 25-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -12.94% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 29-31 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -4.4% ROI).

  • 28-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.25 Units / -16.04% ROI
  • 30-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 0.83% ROI
  • 27-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.9 Units / -8.95% ROI

Opponents are hitting .344 (11-for-32) against Jordan Montgomery’s elevated fastball this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — ninth Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has walked 10 of 237 batters (4%) this season — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 90th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has walked 1 of 41 batters (2%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of just .265 (9 Total Bases / 34 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .436 — 84th Percentile.

: Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .168 (19-for-113) against Michael Lorenzen this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 98th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has not allowed a home run in any of the last 29.0 innings he’s appeared — A.J. Minter has the longest active streak at 65.1.

Michael Lorenzen has allowed a just .212 SLG vs right-handed batters (second best)– 99th Percentile and .500 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for 11th worst among non-qualified SPs)– 13th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has walked 11 of 74 batters (15%) versus the heart of the order this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Yankees are 24-7 (.774) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Yankees are 33-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .926.

The Yankees are 18-9 (.667) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .482.

The Yankees are 16-3 (.842) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Angels are just 25-7 (.781) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Angels are just 4-15 (.211) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.

The Angels are just 25-4 (.862) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.

The Angels are just 1-24 (.040) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .074.

The Yankees have a winning percentage of 77% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Yankees hitters are slugging .602 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .440.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.114 (103 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Angels hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Angels hitters have an OBP of just .277 (579 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Angels hitters are averaging just 3.78 pitches per plate appearance against LHP since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

26% of Angels hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Yankees pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have won 58% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have have still managed to win 61% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

The Yankees have won 61% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Angels pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Angels pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .235.

Angels pitchers have allowed 129 stolen bases since the start of last season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.

Angels pitchers have walked 3 of 63 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Angels vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Michael Trout (Angels): Left Groin Tightness, Day-to-Day
  • Griffin Canning (Angels): Back, D60
  • Joseph Ward (Angels): Hamstring, D10
  • Cooper Criswell (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Austin Warren (Angels): Nasal Fracture, D15
  • David Fletcher (Angels): Hip, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Lat, D15
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Travis Jankowski (Mets): Hand, D10
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • James McCann (Mets): Hamate, D10
  • Starling Marte (Mets): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Oblique, D15
  • Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Angels vs Mets and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.