Mets vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 1

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 01, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Mets (64-37) are -250 favorites vs the Nationals (35-68)
  • Mets starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer (6-2), 2.08 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin (4-14), 6.49 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The New York Mets (-250) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+200) on Monday, August 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).

The Mets vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mets are 64-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 44-59 ATS.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-2.5 +105O 8.5 -115-250
Nationals +2.5 -130U 8.5 -105+200

Mets vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Mets and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 19 games (+15.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 51 away games (+15.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+10.35 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Taijuan Walker has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 40 away games (+9.00 Units / 16% ROI)

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+15.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+12.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Yadiel Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.75 Units / 63% ROI)

Nationals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Ehire Adrianza 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Josh Bell 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Juan Soto 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Nationals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Ehire Adrianza 0.5 -110 0.5 -125
Josh Bell 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Juan Soto 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 -160 0.5 +110

Nationals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Ehire Adrianza 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Josh Bell 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Juan Soto 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Nationals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Patrick Corbin 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
Max Scherzer 6.5 -135 6.5 -105
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 101 games (+17.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 57 of their last 101 games (+10.37 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 54 of their last 101 games (+8.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 63 games (+7.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 90 games (+16.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+6.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+4.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.75 Units / 9% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 54-47 against the Run Line (+8.15 Units / 6.73% ROI).

  • 64-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.7 Units / 12.27% ROI
  • 51-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.5 Units / 2.24% ROI
  • 44-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -10.57% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 44-59 against the Run Line (-23.8 Units / -18.64% ROI).

  • 35-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.75 Units / -18.41% ROI
  • 50-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -2.4% ROI
  • 48-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -5.68% ROI

Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .224 (514 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.

Max Scherzer has a strikeout rate of 34% (340 SO in 1,012 PAs) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 38% (398/1,056) against Max Scherzer since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Max Scherzer has a strikeout rate of 33% (104 SO in 319 PAs) this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.

Patrick Corbin: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting .324 (115-for-355) against Patrick Corbin this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has an ERA of 6.49 (105.1 IP)this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.49 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .324 (149-for-460) against Patrick Corbin this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .890 (502 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .676 — first Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Mets are 28-4 (.875) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Mets are 7-5 (.583) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are 54-5 (.915) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Mets are 25-12 (.676) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Nationals are just 16-38 (.296) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Nationals are just 35-60 (.368) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Nationals are just 104-16 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Nationals are just 11-63 (.149) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Mets have scored first in 69% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .264 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .218.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .360 (429 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .325.

The Mets have a winning percentage of 61% on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Nationals have scored first in just 28% of their home games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 34% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Nationals hitters have put 39% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 72% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.66 (415.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.16.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Nationals vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Erick Fedde (Nationals): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Victor Robles (Nationals): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D15
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Reed Garrett (Nationals): Biceps, D15
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Dominic Smith (Mets): Ankle, D10
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • James McCann (Mets): Oblique, D10
  • Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.