- The White Sox (27-29) are -165 favorites vs the Rangers (26-31)
- Rangers starting pitcher: , ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: , ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Texas Rangers (+140) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-165) on Saturday, June 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rangers vs White Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 26-31 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 25-31 ATS.
Rangers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -150 | O 8 -110 | +140 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -110 | -165 |
Rangers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 73.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 16 away games (+1.40 Units / 6% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 28 games at home (+15.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+10.60 Units / 133% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 28 games at home (+9.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+6.90 Units / 138% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 46 games (+13.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 44 games (+6.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 37 games (+5.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 37 games (+4.78 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 44 games (+4.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games (+15.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+2.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 37 games (+1.35 Units / 3% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 33-24 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 6.87% ROI).
- 26-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -3.16% ROI
- 23-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -8.9% ROI
- 26-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 1.44% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 25-31 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -9.28% ROI).
- 27-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -7.96% ROI
- 26-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -6.22% ROI
- 28-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.4% ROI
: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .331 (43 Total Bases / 130 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .527 — 100th Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .268 (67 Total Bases / 250 ABs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 98th Percentile.
Martin Perez has induced opposing hitters to ground into 9 double plays in 38 opportunities (24%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .167 (8-for-48) against Martin Perez on inside fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .268 — 93rd Percentile.
: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Swarmer has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 12 innings — Clay Holmes has the longest active streak at 23.
Opponents batting in the heart of the order are hitting just .067 (1-for-15) against Matt Swarmer — tied for 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .242 — 98th Percentile.
Matt Swarmer had a first-pitch strike rate of 77% (17/22) — 7th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 63% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents batted just .100 (2-for-20) against Matt Swarmer — tied for 7th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .220 — 93rd Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Rangers are just 21-5 (.808) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Rangers are 13-2 (.867) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Rangers are just 18-3 (.857) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Rangers are just 13-16 (.448) at home this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Cubs are just 11-20 (.355) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Cubs are just 2-14 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Cubs are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Cubs are just 20-83 (.194) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (3,270 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (2,585 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .282 (5,149 PA’s) on the road since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (8,044 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 263 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs are batting just .151 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Cubs hitters have 1,545 strikeouts in 5,943 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Cubs have a winning percentage of just 35% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 53 of 506 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 7 of 52 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs have won just 9% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 786 of 8,359 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs have won just 26% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): , Day-to-Day
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Hamstring, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Michael Lynn (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Yermín Mercedes (White Sox): Hand, D10
- Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Groin, D15
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Groin, D10
- José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
- Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
- Steele Walker (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): COVID-19, D15
- Brett Martin (Rangers): COVID-19, D15
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