Rangers vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 11, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The White Sox (27-29) are -165 favorites vs the Rangers (26-31)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: , ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Texas Rangers (+140) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-165) on Saturday, June 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Rangers vs White Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 26-31 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 25-31 ATS.

Rangers vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -150O 8 -110+140
White Sox -1.5 +125U 8 -110-165

Rangers vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 73.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on White Sox vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 16 away games (+1.40 Units / 6% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 28 games at home (+15.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+10.60 Units / 133% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 28 games at home (+9.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+6.90 Units / 138% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 46 games (+13.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 44 games (+6.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 37 games (+5.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 37 games (+4.78 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 44 games (+4.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games (+15.75 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+2.50 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 37 games (+1.35 Units / 3% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 33-24 against the Run Line (+5.15 Units / 6.87% ROI).

  • 26-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -3.16% ROI
  • 23-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -8.9% ROI
  • 26-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 1.44% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 25-31 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -9.28% ROI).

  • 27-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -7.96% ROI
  • 26-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -6.22% ROI
  • 28-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.4% ROI

Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .331 (43 Total Bases / 130 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .527 — 100th Percentile.

Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .268 (67 Total Bases / 250 ABs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 — 98th Percentile.

Martin Perez has induced opposing hitters to ground into 9 double plays in 38 opportunities (24%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .167 (8-for-48) against Martin Perez on inside fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .268 — 93rd Percentile.

: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Matt Swarmer has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 12 innings — Clay Holmes has the longest active streak at 23.

Opponents batting in the heart of the order are hitting just .067 (1-for-15) against Matt Swarmer — tied for 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .242 — 98th Percentile.

Matt Swarmer had a first-pitch strike rate of 77% (17/22) — 7th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 63% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents batted just .100 (2-for-20) against Matt Swarmer — tied for 7th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .220 — 93rd Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Rangers are just 21-5 (.808) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .926.

The Rangers are 13-2 (.867) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.

The Rangers are just 18-3 (.857) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Rangers are just 13-16 (.448) at home this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Cubs are just 11-20 (.355) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Cubs are just 2-14 (.125) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

The Cubs are just 0-27 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Cubs are just 20-83 (.194) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (3,270 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (2,585 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .282 (5,149 PA’s) on the road since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (8,044 PA’s) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 36 double plays in 263 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs are batting just .151 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.

Cubs hitters have 1,545 strikeouts in 5,943 PA’s (26%) against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Cubs have a winning percentage of just 35% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 53 of 506 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 7 of 52 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Cubs have won just 9% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 786 of 8,359 batters (9%) since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Cubs have won just 26% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

White Sox vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): , Day-to-Day
  • Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Hamstring, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Lynn (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Yermín Mercedes (White Sox): Hand, D10
  • Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Groin, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Groin, D10
  • José Leclerc (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
  • Josh H. Smith (Rangers): Shoulder, D10
  • Steele Walker (Rangers): COVID-19, D10
  • Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
  • Glenn Otto (Rangers): COVID-19, D15
  • Brett Martin (Rangers): COVID-19, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.