Rays vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 11, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Rays (34-24) are -155 favorites vs the Twins (34-26)
  • Rays starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Watch the game on BSN

The Tampa Bay Rays (-155) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+125) on Saturday, June 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Rays vs Twins Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 34-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 27-33 ATS.

Rays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +105O 8.5 -105-155
Twins +1.5 -125U 8.5 -115+125

Rays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s matchup with 78.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Twins vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+7.55 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 23 away games (+6.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Ji-Man Choi has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+5.95 Units / 85% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+16.25 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.55 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Gio Urshela has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+9.40 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+8.30 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+7.95 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+9.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 47 games (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 36 games (+5.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 away games (+4.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 58 games (+13.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+11.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.25 Units / 36% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 28-30 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.14% ROI).

  • 34-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 0.89% ROI
  • 26-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -10.05% ROI
  • 30-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 2.16% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 27-33 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -9.08% ROI).

  • 34-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 7.62% ROI
  • 29-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.15% ROI
  • 27-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.25 Units / -7.84% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a Well-Hit Avg of .252 (29/115) against Chi Chi Gonzalez on low non-fastballs last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .129 — 0 Percentile.

Chi Chi Gonzalez allowed a slugging percentage of .661 (109 Total Bases / 165 ABs) on breaking pitches last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .364 — first Percentile.

Chi Chi Gonzalez allowed a slugging percentage of .676 (94 Total Bases / 139 ABs) on sliders last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .377 — first Percentile.

Opponents batted .339 (56-for-165) against Chi Chi Gonzalez’s curve and slider last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .215 — first Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Rays are 14-4 (.778) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .668.

The Rays are 2-19 (.095) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.

The Rays are 15-83 (.153) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .083.

The Rays are 21-13 (.618) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Twins are 24-2 (.923) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Twins are 3-17 (.150) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Twins are 19-13 (.594) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Twins are 17-5 (.773) when scoring in the first inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .668.

The Rays have scored 1.87 runs per game (406/217) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.44.

The Rays are batting just .197 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.

The Rays have scored 1.65 runs per game (359/217) in late innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.

Rays hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Twins hitters are slugging .589 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .440.

Twins hitters are slugging just .493 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.

The Twins are batting .252 with two outs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .232.

Twins hitters have an OBP of .325 (1,066 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .306.

Rays pitchers have walked 144 of 2,147 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 28 of 524 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 121 of 1,986 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 159 of 2,514 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Twins have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Twins pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,442 times since the start of last season — 2nd most in MLB.

Twins vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Ryan (Twins): COVID-19, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Hamstring, D10
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Sonny Gray (Twins): Pectoral, D15
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Peter Fairbanks (Rays): Lat, D60
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D15
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Quad, D10
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Chris Mazza (Rays): Back, D60
  • Luis Patiño (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.