- The Cardinals (33-26) are -185 favorites vs the Reds (20-38)
- Reds starting pitcher: , ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: , ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Cincinnati Reds (+150) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-185) on Saturday, June 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Reds vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 20-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 33-26 ATS.
Reds vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -115 | +150 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -105 | -185 |
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 80.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Votto has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Joey Votto has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.40 Units / 57% ROI)
- Matt Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+5.30 Units / 88% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+10.55 Units / 79% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+9.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+8.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 57% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+7.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+4.50 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 games (+7.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+6.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+6.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+4.45 Units / 34% ROI)
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 25-33 against the Run Line (-11.7 Units / -16.57% ROI).
- 20-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.9 Units / -23.52% ROI
- 30-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.16% ROI
- 27-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -9.98% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 33-26 against the Run Line (+5.75 Units / 7.52% ROI).
- 33-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 3.83% ROI
- 28-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 28-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -4.37% ROI
: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .624 (68 Total Bases / 109 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — first Percentile.
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (39 Total Bases / 39 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .430 — first Percentile.
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .847 (83 Total Bases / 98 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .527 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .462 (18-for-39) against Hunter Greene on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .268 — first Percentile.
: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 13% (23/181) against Adam Wainwright this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown his curveball 30% of the time (260/854) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (70/452) against Adam Wainwright this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 69% of the time (721/1,053) when he’s behind in the count since the start of 2020 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 8-21 (.276) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Reds are just 0-32 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Reds are just 4-28 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Reds are just 17-3 (.850) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are 28-9 (.757) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Cardinals are just 1-23 (.042) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Cardinals are 20-3 (.870) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Cardinals are 11-2 (.846) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .565 (1,025 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
The Reds are batting just .201 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Reds hitters are slugging just .303 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .262 (1,025 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 168 extra-base hits out of 395 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .454 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Cardinals are batting just .155 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .782 (1,733 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 29 double plays in 447 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds pitchers have walked 230 of 2,204 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Reds pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 54 of 525 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
- Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Lower Back, D15
- Donovan Solano (Reds): Hamstring, D60
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D10
- Max Schrock (Reds): Calf, D60
- Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D10
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Michael Moustakas (Reds): Undisclosed, D10
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan India (Reds): Hamstring, D10
- Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Undisclosed, D60
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