Reds vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 11, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Cardinals (33-26) are -185 favorites vs the Reds (20-38)
  • Reds starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Cincinnati Reds (+150) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-185) on Saturday, June 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Reds vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 20-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 33-26 ATS.

Reds vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -135O 8.5 -115+150
Cardinals -1.5 +110U 8.5 -105-185

Reds vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s matchup with 80.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joey Votto has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.40 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Matt Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games (+5.30 Units / 88% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+10.55 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 17 games at home (+9.15 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+8.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Harrison Bader has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.25 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+7.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 32 games (+4.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 games (+7.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+6.40 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+6.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+4.45 Units / 34% ROI)

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 25-33 against the Run Line (-11.7 Units / -16.57% ROI).

  • 20-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.9 Units / -23.52% ROI
  • 30-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.16% ROI
  • 27-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.4 Units / -9.98% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 33-26 against the Run Line (+5.75 Units / 7.52% ROI).

  • 33-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 3.83% ROI
  • 28-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 28-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -4.37% ROI

Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .624 (68 Total Bases / 109 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — first Percentile.

Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (39 Total Bases / 39 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .430 — first Percentile.

Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .847 (83 Total Bases / 98 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .527 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .462 (18-for-39) against Hunter Greene on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .268 — first Percentile.

: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 13% (23/181) against Adam Wainwright this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Adam Wainwright has thrown his curveball 30% of the time (260/854) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (70/452) against Adam Wainwright this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Adam Wainwright has thrown off-speed pitches 69% of the time (721/1,053) when he’s behind in the count since the start of 2020 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Reds are just 8-21 (.276) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.

The Reds are just 0-32 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Reds are just 4-28 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

The Reds are just 17-3 (.850) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cardinals are 28-9 (.757) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Cardinals are just 1-23 (.042) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Cardinals are 20-3 (.870) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.

The Cardinals are 11-2 (.846) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Reds hitters have an OPS of just .565 (1,025 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.

The Reds are batting just .201 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .238.

Reds hitters are slugging just .303 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .262 (1,025 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.

Cardinals hitters have 168 extra-base hits out of 395 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .454 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

The Cardinals are batting just .155 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .782 (1,733 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 29 double plays in 447 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Reds pitchers have walked 230 of 2,204 batters (10%) this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Reds pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 54 of 525 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Cardinals): Calf, D10
  • Jordan Hicks (Cardinals): Forearm, D15
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Lower Back, D15
  • Donovan Solano (Reds): Hamstring, D60
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Back, D10
  • Max Schrock (Reds): Calf, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Hand, D10
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D10
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Undisclosed, D10
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan India (Reds): Hamstring, D10
  • Tyler Naquin (Reds): Quad, D10
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Undisclosed, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.