Rockies vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 11, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Padres (36-22) are -225 favorites vs the Rockies (25-33)
  • Rockies starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSD

The Colorado Rockies (+180) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-225) on Saturday, June 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego.

The Padres are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Rockies vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rockies are 25-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 33-25 ATS.

Rockies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rockies+1.5 -120O 7.5 -120+180
Padres -1.5 +100U 7.5 +100-225

Rockies vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s matchup with 66.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Connor Joe has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Connor Joe has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 36% ROI)
  • C.J. Cron has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 69% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+11.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+7.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games (+8.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 47 games (+7.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+1.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+12.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+8.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 57 games (+8.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+8.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 55% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 27-31 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -13.35% ROI).

  • 25-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -6.62% ROI
  • 31-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.4 Units / 5.33% ROI
  • 25-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -14.54% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 33-25 against the Run Line (+7.9 Units / 10.39% ROI).

  • 36-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.65 Units / 13.67% ROI
  • 26-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -9.82% ROI
  • 30-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 2.39% ROI

starting pitcher – away

: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of .481 (13/27) against Nick Martinez on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.

Nick Martinez has allowed a slugging percentage of .889 (24 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .362 — second Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 16.0 innings pitched — Luis Garcia has the longest active streak at 23.1.

MacKenzie Gore has not allowed a HR in any of his last seven starts dating back to April 20th — Patrick Sandoval has the longest active streak at 9.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Rockies are 20-1 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .926.

The Rockies are 17-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Rockies are 5-25 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Rockies are just 22-25 (.468) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Padres are 4-15 (.211) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Padres are just 28-4 (.875) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Padres are 30-7 (.811) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Padres are 16-11 (.593) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

Rockies hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Rockies are batting .283 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Rockies hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Rockies are batting .278 at home since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 57% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 61%.

Padres hitters are slugging just .352 against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Padres hitters have drawn 232 walks in 2,304 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Padres have a winning percentage of 65% on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rockies pitchers this season traveled 496.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 453.2

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Rockies pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 10% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

The Padres have won 58% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .183 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

Padres pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Padres pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Padres vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Adrian Morejon (Padres): COVID-19, D10
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Robert Suarez (Padres): Knee, D15
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D10
  • Michael Clevinger (Padres): COVID-19, D10
  • Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Back, D10
  • Scott Oberg (Rockies): Arm, D60
  • Tyson Blach (Rockies): Wrist, D15
  • Helcris Olivarez (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.