TCU vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 07, 2023, 1:24 PM
  • Kansas State (18-5) are -4.5 point favorites vs TCU (17-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPNU

The #17 TCU Horned Frogs (17-6) visit Bramlage Coliseum to take on the #12 Kansas State Wildcats (18-5) on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Manhattan.

Kansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The TCU vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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TCU vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
TCU+4.5 -105O 148.5 -110+170
Kansas State -4.5 -115U 148.5 -110-210

TCU vs Kansas State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 60.1% confidence.

TCU vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Kansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 38 games (+21.20 Units / 51% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+18.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • TCU has hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 49 games (+18.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the Spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • TCU have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 47 games (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 33 games (+16.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 games (+14.95 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)

TCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

TCU has gone 13-9 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.1 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.95 Units / 13.87% ROI
  • 15-8 when betting the Over for +6.2 Units / 24.51% ROI
  • 8-15 when betting the Under for -8.5 Units / -33.6% ROI

Kansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas State has gone 15-7 against the spread this college basketball season (+7.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 16-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.9 Units / 18.68% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 7.91% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Under for -4.3 Units / -17% ROI

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends:

TCU is shooting 56% from inside the arc (200/355) in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 51%

TCU has averaged 1.25 points per shot (374 points/299 shots) on shots around the rim this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.12

TCU averaged 1.5 turnovers per game (27 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

TCU has made 187 field goals on shots around the rim this season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. made 109 three-pointers in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. attempted 363 threes in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. attempted 301 threes in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas St. averaged 2.2 turnovers per game (42 turnovers/19 games) in transition last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 3.3

TCU Defensive Stats & Trends:

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 18% from three (4/22) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 52% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (22/42) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 17% (4/23) on right corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

TCU allowed opponents to shoot 19% from three off the dribble (12/64) last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28%

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. allowed 31.6 points per game (664 points/21 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Kansas St. forced 1.1 turnovers per game (23 turnovers/21 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Kansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (87/312) this season — 5th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Kansas St. allowed 55.0 points per game (1,155 points/21 games) in half court possessions last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.