Tennessee vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 10, 2023, 10:04 AM
  • Tennessee (23-9) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Missouri (23-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The #17 Tennessee Volunteers (23-9) visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the #25 Missouri Tigers (23-8) on Mar. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in Nashville.

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Tennessee vs. Missouri Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Tennessee vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Tennessee-5.5 -115O 140.5 -110-250
Missouri +5.5 -105U 140.5 -110+200

Tennessee vs Missouri Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 62.1% confidence.

Tennessee vs Missouri Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Tennessee and Missouri, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 43 games (+5.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 47 games (+3.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 48 games (+27.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+11.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 49 games (+4.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+3.75 Units / 7% ROI)

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has gone 17-15 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI).

  • 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.35 Units / -21.53% ROI
  • 13-19 when betting the Over for -7.9 Units / -22.44% ROI
  • 19-13 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 13.35% ROI

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has gone 16-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.45 Units / -1.32% ROI).

  • 18-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.4 Units / 19.99% ROI
  • 17-14 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 4.69% ROI
  • 14-17 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -13.78% ROI

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has 952 assists since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among SEC Teams

Tennessee has 688 assists at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among SEC Teams

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (264 assists/ 246 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 0.9

Tennessee has averaged 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (299 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.6

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (381 assists/ 254 TOs) this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Missouri has an eFG% of 56% this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 51%

Missouri has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (199 assists/ 127 TOs) in the first half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Missouri has made 655 field goals this season — most among SEC Teams

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has averaged 9.3 steals per game (530 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.7

Tennessee has averaged 9.3 steals per game (530 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Tennessee has averaged 9.3 steals per game (204 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Tennessee has 204 steals this season — 5th most among Power Conference teams

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (483 rebounds/22 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Missouri has forced 18.2 turnovers per game (401 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Missouri has averaged 11.0 steals per game (242 steals/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Missouri has 242 steals this season — most among Power Conference teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.