- Saint Mary’s is a -4.5 point favorite vs VCU
- Total (Over/Under): 122.5 points
- Watch the game on TBS
The #12 seed VCU Rams (27-7) visit MVP Arena to take on the #5 seed Saint Mary’s Gaels (26-7) on Mar. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EDT in Albany.
Saint Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).
The VCU vs. Saint Mary’s Over/Under is 122.5 total points.
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VCU vs. Saint Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| VCU | +4.5 -115 | O 122.5 -105 | +145 |
| Saint Mary’s | -4.5 -105 | U 122.5 -115 | -175 |
VCU vs Saint Mary’s Prediction for March Madness:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Saint Mary’s will win this March Madness game with 57.4% confidence.
VCU vs Saint Mary’s Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts VCU will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both VCU and Saint Mary’s, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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VCU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- VCU has hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 47 games (+17.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- VCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- VCU have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- VCU has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- VCU has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.70 Units / 20% ROI)
Saint Mary’s Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Saint Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 48 games (+11.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s has hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 48 games (+5.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 29% ROI)
VCU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
VCU has gone 18-15 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.5 Units / 0% ROI).
- 25-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.05 Units / 8.58% ROI
- 14-20 when betting the Over for -8 Units / -21.39% ROI
- 20-14 when betting the Under for +4.6 Units / 12.3% ROI
Saint Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Saint Mary’s has gone 16-14 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 0% ROI).
- 24-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 16-16 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 16-16 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
VCU Offensive Stats & Trends:
VCU has a 43% free throw rate (525 free throw attempts/1,211 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%
VCU has made 5.9 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
VCU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (288 assists/ 339 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.0
VCU has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (288 assists/ 339 TOs) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Saint Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:
Saint Mary’s has averaged 11.0 turnovers per game (263 turnovers/24 games) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5
Saint Mary’s has averaged 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (273 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5
Saint Mary’s is shooting 38% from three (189/503) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Saint Mary’s has 14.8 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 17.7
VCU Defensive Stats & Trends:
VCU has averaged 9.2 steals per game (507 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5
VCU has averaged 9.3 steals per game (213 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
VCU has 213 steals this season — most among Atlantic 10 Teams
VCU has 507 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Atlantic 10 Teams
Saint Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:
Saint Mary’s has averaged 7.5 steals per game (180 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.5
Saint Mary’s has 415 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd most among West Coast Conference Teams
Saint Mary’s has 180 steals this season — tied for 2nd most among West Coast Conference Teams
Saint Mary’s has averaged 7.2 steals per game (415 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 6.2
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