- The Astros are -275 favorites vs the Athletics
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown
- Athletics starting pitcher: James Kaprielian
- Watch the game on NBCS-CA
The Houston Astros (-275) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+220) on Friday, May 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).
The Astros vs Athletics Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 28-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 20-32 ATS.
Astros vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | -2.5 +100 | O 8.5 -110 | -275 |
| Athletics | +2.5 -120 | U 8.5 -110 | +220 |
Astros vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 87.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Astros vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 43 games (+15.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 49 games (+15.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 46 games (+13.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+11.40 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.40 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+14.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+14.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 48 games (+9.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.10 Units / 54% ROI)
Athletics vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Athletics vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Athletics vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seth Brown | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Athletics vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Brown | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| James Kaprielian | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 away games (+5.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.40 Units / 71% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games (+14.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 24-25 against the Run Line (-3.55 Units / -5.58% ROI).
- 28-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -2.27% ROI
- 23-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -8.66% ROI
- 25-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -0.28% ROI
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 20-32 against the Run Line (-15.15 Units / -25.66% ROI).
- 10-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.5 Units / -50.82% ROI
- 28-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 4.14% ROI
- 23-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.35 Units / -13% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has allowed an OPS of 1.119 (46 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .700 — seventh Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .478 (46 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .313 — third Percentile.
Hunter Brown has thrown breaking pitches 61% of the time (240/395) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has a strikeout rate of 47% (33 SO in 70 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 94th Percentile.
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .583 (14 GB hits out of 24 GBs) against James Kaprielian this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 0 Percentile.
James Kaprielian has walked 46 of 351 right-handed batters (13%) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
James Kaprielian has walked 10 of 46 batters (22%) with runners in scoring position this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.
James Kaprielian has an ERA of 8.68 (28.0 IP)this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 4.33 — first Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Astros are 62-6 (.912) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Astros are 87-7 (.926) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Astros are just 1-12 (.077) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Astros are 56-11 (.836) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Athletics are just 4-3 (.571) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Athletics are just 10-42 (.192) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 8-34 (.190) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Athletics are just 5-20 (.200) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 407 strikeouts in 2,347 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 787 strikeouts in 4,428 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Astros hitters have just 86 strikeouts in 497 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 20% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 20% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .282 (5,735 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 3% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Athletics have allowed 7.06 runs per game (367/52) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.56.
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.88 (455.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Athletics vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Illness, Day-to-Day
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
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