- The White Sox are -125 favorites vs the Astros
- Astros starting pitcher: Brandon Bielak
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease
- Watch the game on FOX
The Houston Astros (+105) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-125) on Saturday, May 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Astros vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Astros are 20-18 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 17-23 ATS.
Astros vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Astros | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -120 | +105 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +150 | U 9 +100 | -125 |
Astros vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Astros and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+15.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+11.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+11.15 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+11.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.25 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.35 Units / 49% ROI)
White Sox vs Astros Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
White Sox vs Astros Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
White Sox vs Astros RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
White Sox vs Astros Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
| Bielak | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.90 Units / 47% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.95 Units / 16% ROI)
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 19-19 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -4.37% ROI).
- 20-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -11.53% ROI
- 19-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -1.67% ROI
- 18-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -6.46% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 17-23 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -18.65% ROI).
- 13-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.8 Units / -33.11% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 8.66% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -15.74% ROI
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Bielak has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to July 21st, 2022 — Corey Kluber has the longest active streak at 9.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease walked 78 of 747 batters (10%) in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown inside pitches 49% of the time (979/1,989) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 52% of the time (1,001/1,922) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 69 of 602 batters (12%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Astros are 44-67 (.396) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Astros are 58-6 (.906) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Astros are 63-37 (.630) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Astros are 17-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The White Sox are just 9-1 (.900) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The White Sox are just 9-5 (.643) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .852.
The White Sox are just 5-6 (.455) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .687.
The White Sox are just 1-19 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .148.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 379 strikeouts in 2,222 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 58 strikeouts in 372 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 759 strikeouts in 4,303 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 47 walks in 947 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox has 600 quality ABs out of 1,514 total (40% QAB rate) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of .335 (1,655 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% against White Sox pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against White Sox pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .307 against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
White Sox vs. Astros Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Billy Hamilton (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jacob Burger (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Appendix, D10
- Elvis Andrus (White Sox): Oblique, D10
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
- Chas McCormick (Astros): Back, Day-to-Day
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
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