- The Mariners are -300 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Kyle Muller
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Oakland Athletics (+240) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-300) on Monday, May 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).
The Athletics vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 10-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 23-23 ATS.
Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +2.5 -120 | O 7.5 +100 | +240 |
| Mariners | -2.5 +100 | U 7.5 -120 | -300 |
Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 92.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 44 games (+16.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+15.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jace Peterson has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 68% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 38 games (+19.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 38 games (+18.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+13.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+11.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.45 Units / 66% ROI)
Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jordan Diaz | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -700 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo | 7.5 -135 | 7.5 +100 |
| Kyle Muller | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+8.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.15 Units / 24% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+3.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+2.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.00 Units / 13% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 18-30 against the Run Line (-15.15 Units / -27.57% ROI).
- 10-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.5 Units / -46.73% ROI
- 27-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 8.47% ROI
- 20-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -17.79% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 23-23 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -0.95% ROI).
- 22-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -12.15% ROI
- 22-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.8 Units / -7.34% ROI
- 23-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.85 Units / -1.71% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
8 of Kyle Muller’s 19 breaking pitch strikeouts (42%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .600 (21-for-35) against Kyle Muller when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .262 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (27-for-81) against Kyle Muller when ahead in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .198 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Muller has a strikeout rate of just 2% (1 SO in 43 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 20% — first Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .226 (106 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .111 (13-for-117) against Luis Castillo with two-strikes this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .167 — 92nd Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 32% (71/221) against Luis Castillo this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 89th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has a strike rate of 68% (568/839) this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 89th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 8-30 (.211) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Athletics are just 1-9 (.100) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Athletics are just 3-5 (.375) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Athletics are just 8-8 (.500) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are just 16-5 (.762) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Mariners are 85-3 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .911.
The Mariners are just 2-10 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Mariners are just 1-3 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 21% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 20% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .282 (3,821 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .225 (200 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .329.
The Mariners are batting just .184 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Mariners are batting just .308 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 8.05 (190.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.47.
Athletics pitchers have walked 236 of 1,973 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.91 (423.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 49 of 937 batters (5%) over the last 30 days (26 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Mariners pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 118 of 1,708 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .351 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kenneth Waldichuk (Athletics): Calf, Day-to-Day
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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