Athletics vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 23, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Mariners are -225 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Luis Medina
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Oakland Athletics (+180) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-225) on Tuesday, May 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Athletics vs Mariners Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Athletics are 10-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 24-23 ATS.

Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -105O 9 -120+180
Mariners -1.5 -115U 9 +100-225

Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 83.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 45 games (+17.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+16.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Esteury Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+12.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 39 games (+20.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 39 games (+19.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+14.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 57% ROI)

Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Nick Allen 0.5 +1150 0.5
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Seth Brown 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +350 0.5 -650

Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Nick Allen 0.5 -160 0.5 +125
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Seth Brown 0.5 -160 0.5 +125
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -175 0.5 +135

Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Nick Allen 0.5 +333 0.5 -500
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Seth Brown 0.5 +220 0.5 -300
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Medina 5.5 +155 5.5 -210
Marco Gonzales 4.5 +110 4.5 -140
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 away games (+7.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 18-31 against the Run Line (-16.15 Units / -28.87% ROI).

  • 10-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.5 Units / -47.81% ROI
  • 28-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 10.13% ROI
  • 20-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.35 Units / -19.49% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 24-23 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 0.75% ROI).

  • 23-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -10.09% ROI
  • 23-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.8 Units / -5.29% ROI
  • 23-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -3.84% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 29% (129 SO in 444 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has allowed an OPS of 1.242 (47 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .687 — 0 Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has averaged 88.5 MPH on fastballs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — second Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has allowed a slugging percentage of .795 (35 Total Bases / 44 ABs) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .386 — 0 Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Athletics are just 58-8 (.879) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.

The Athletics are just 1-9 (.100) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.

The Athletics are just 2-4 (.333) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Athletics are just 4-3 (.571) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Mariners are just 0-7 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.

The Mariners are 2-19 (.095) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Mariners are 21-3 (.875) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The Mariners are 50-8 (.862) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .283 (5,668 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 20% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .282 (3,821 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Mariners are batting just .220 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .193 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .668 (468 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .748.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 7.02 (431.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.

Athletics pitchers have walked 241 of 2,016 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 8.23 (198.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.47.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 121 of 1,743 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Mariners pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mariners pitchers have walked 21 of 435 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
  • Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
  • Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
  • Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
  • Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
  • Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Kenneth Waldichuk (Athletics): Calf, Day-to-Day
  • Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
  • Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
  • Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
  • Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
  • Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.