- The Mariners are -300 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Kenneth Waldichuk
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Oakland Athletics (+250) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-300) on Wednesday, May 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Athletics vs Mariners Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 10-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 24-24 ATS.
Athletics vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +2.5 -125 | O 8.5 -110 | +250 |
| Mariners | -2.5 +105 | U 8.5 -110 | -300 |
Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 89.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 46 games (+18.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 43 games (+17.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+13.15 Units / 54% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+11.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 40 games (+21.15 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 40 games (+20.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+13.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+11.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+10.80 Units / 37% ROI)
Mariners vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +1450 | 0.5 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Mariners vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Mariners vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nick Allen | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -750 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller | 6.5 +140 | 6.5 -185 |
| Ken Waldichuk | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+5.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games (+2.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 19-31 against the Run Line (-15.15 Units / -26.58% ROI).
- 10-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -24.5 Units / -48.85% ROI
- 28-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.45 Units / 7.96% ROI
- 21-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.35 Units / -17.25% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 24-24 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -1.15% ROI).
- 24-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -8.33% ROI
- 23-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -7.22% ROI
- 24-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -1.83% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
8 of Ken Waldichuk’s 17 breaking pitch strikeouts (47%) have been backdoor this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Ken Waldichuk has walked 18 of 124 batters (14%) over the last 30 days (5 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Ken Waldichuk has allowed an OBP of .359 (103 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 0 Percentile.
Ken Waldichuk has allowed a slugging percentage of .663 (65 Total Bases / 98 ABs) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .431 — first Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .148 (88 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .317 — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed an OPS of just .322 (88 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .737 — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .148 (88 PA’s) over the last 30 days (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 100th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed a BABIP of .172 this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .298 — 99th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Athletics are just 4-3 (.571) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Athletics are just 2-4 (.333) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Athletics are just 10-40 (.200) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Athletics are just 58-8 (.879) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Mariners are just 0-7 (.000) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Mariners are 50-8 (.862) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Mariners are just 18-5 (.783) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Mariners are 32-23 (.582) after a road win since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .490.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 20% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 20% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .282 (3,821 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .241 (212 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Mariners are batting just .220 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mariners are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Mariners are batting just .203 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 8.04 (206.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.
Athletics pitchers have walked 243 of 2,049 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 6.95 (439.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 122 of 1,774 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 21 of 431 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed a slugging percentage of just .345 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Mariners pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D15
- Andrés Muñoz (Mariners): Deltoid, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D15
- Dylan Moore (Mariners): Olique, D10
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Tyler France (Mariners): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Kenneth Waldichuk (Athletics): Calf, Day-to-Day
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D60
- Mason Miller (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Drew Rucinski (Athletics): Illness, D15
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Undisclosed, D15
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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