Athletics vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 4

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 04, 2022, 8:41 AM
  • The Orioles (71-61) are -175 favorites vs the Athletics (49-85)
  • Athletics starting pitcher: Adrian Martinez (3-3), 5.27 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Spenser Watkins (4-5), 4.26 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Oakland Athletics (+145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Sunday, September 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Athletics vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Athletics are 47-84 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 87-44 ATS.

Athletics vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Athletics+1.5 -135O 8.5 -115+145
Orioles -1.5 +110U 8.5 -105-175

Athletics vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s matchup with 59.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Athletics and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+9.20 Units / 15% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 56 games at home (+15.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 40 games at home (+15.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+14.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+11.10 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Ryan McKenna has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+10.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 58 of their last 110 games (+4.55 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 70 games (+17.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 37 of their last 65 games (+9.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 72 games (+5.60 Units / 7% ROI)

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 63-68 against the Run Line (-19.35 Units / -11.37% ROI).

  • 47-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.5 Units / -14.17% ROI
  • 56-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.45 Units / -14.76% ROI
  • 70-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.6 Units / 5.98% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 87-44 against the Run Line (+34.6 Units / 19.94% ROI).

  • 71-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +33.05 Units / 23.68% ROI
  • 58-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.45 Units / -10.77% ROI
  • 68-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 2.95% ROI

Adrian Martinez had a first-pitch strike rate of 76% (16/21) — tied for 7th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — 93rd Percentile.

Spenser Watkins: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

26 of Spenser Watkins’ 56 strikeouts (46%) have come on cutters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.

Spenser Watkins has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 1 double play in 67 opportunities (1%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.

Spenser Watkins has a strikeout rate of just 15% (56 SO in 381 PAs) this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .344 (43-for-125) against Spenser Watkins versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: .257 — first Percentile.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Athletics are just 22-44 (.333) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Athletics are just 47-73 (.392) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Athletics are just 5-35 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Athletics are just 5-66 (.070) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Orioles are 55-2 (.965) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Orioles are 53-1 (.981) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Orioles are just 13-25 (.342) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 30-6 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

The Athletics are batting just .204 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (2,324 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Athletics hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Athletics are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The Orioles are batting just .154 with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.

Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 10% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 70% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.78 (1162.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 351 of 4,917 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15
  • Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
  • Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
  • Skye Bolt (Athletics): Knee, D10
  • Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
  • Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
  • Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
  • Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Oblique, D10
  • Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.