- The Orioles (71-61) are -175 favorites vs the Athletics (49-85)
- Athletics starting pitcher: Adrian Martinez (3-3), 5.27 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Spenser Watkins (4-5), 4.26 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Oakland Athletics (+145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Sunday, September 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Athletics vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Athletics are 47-84 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 87-44 ATS.
Athletics vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -115 | +145 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -105 | -175 |
Athletics vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s matchup with 59.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Seth Brown has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Total Bases Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Paul Blackburn has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+9.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+9.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 56 games at home (+15.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 40 games at home (+15.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+14.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+11.10 Units / 63% ROI)
- Ryan McKenna has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+10.40 Units / 38% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Athletics Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 58 of their last 110 games (+4.55 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 70 games (+17.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 37 of their last 65 games (+9.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 72 games (+5.60 Units / 7% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 63-68 against the Run Line (-19.35 Units / -11.37% ROI).
- 47-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.5 Units / -14.17% ROI
- 56-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.45 Units / -14.76% ROI
- 70-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.6 Units / 5.98% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 87-44 against the Run Line (+34.6 Units / 19.94% ROI).
- 71-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +33.05 Units / 23.68% ROI
- 58-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.45 Units / -10.77% ROI
- 68-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.3 Units / 2.95% ROI
Adrian Martinez: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Martinez had a first-pitch strike rate of 76% (16/21) — tied for 7th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 64% — 93rd Percentile.
Spenser Watkins: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
26 of Spenser Watkins’ 56 strikeouts (46%) have come on cutters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 4% — 100th Percentile.
Spenser Watkins has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 1 double play in 67 opportunities (1%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.
Spenser Watkins has a strikeout rate of just 15% (56 SO in 381 PAs) this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .344 (43-for-125) against Spenser Watkins versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: .257 — first Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Athletics are just 22-44 (.333) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Athletics are just 47-73 (.392) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Athletics are just 5-35 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
The Athletics are just 5-66 (.070) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Orioles are 55-2 (.965) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Orioles are 53-1 (.981) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Orioles are just 13-25 (.342) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 30-6 (.833) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .204 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .272 (2,324 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Athletics hitters are slugging just .170 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Athletics are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Orioles are batting just .154 with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 10% of the time at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Athletics have won just just 0% of the time at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Athletics pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 70% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.78 (1162.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 351 of 4,917 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Brent Honeywell Jr. (Athletics): Elbow, D60
- Skye Bolt (Athletics): Knee, D10
- Daulton Jefferies (Athletics): Arm, D60
- Zachary Jackson (Athletics): Shoulder, D15
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D60
- Ramón Laureano (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Deolis Guerra (Athletics): Elbow, D60
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