- The Royals are -155 favorites vs the Athletics
- Athletics starting pitcher: Kyle Muller
- Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Oakland Athletics (+125) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-155) on Friday, May 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Royals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Athletics vs Royals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Athletics are 6-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 11-21 ATS.
Athletics vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +1.5 -145 | O 10 -115 | +125 |
| Royals | -1.5 +120 | U 10 -105 | -155 |
Athletics vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Athletics and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Aledmys Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 away games (+7.65 Units / 79% ROI)
- Esteury Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+6.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- Nick Allen has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 52% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+7.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 24 games (+7.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nicky Lopez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.20 Units / 65% ROI)
Royals vs Athletics Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Edward Olivares | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Esteury Ruiz | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Royals vs Athletics Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Edward Olivares | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Esteury Ruiz | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Royals vs Athletics RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tony Kemp | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Brent Rooker | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jace Peterson | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Edward Olivares | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Esteury Ruiz | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Royals vs Athletics Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Muller | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Brad Keller | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 10 away games (+10.40 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+1.50 Units / 30% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.30 Units / 6% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Athletics have gone 13-19 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -23.11% ROI).
- 6-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.95 Units / -49.77% ROI
- 20-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.75 Units / 21.62% ROI
- 11-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.5 Units / -30.3% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 11-21 against the Run Line (-13.35 Units / -34.36% ROI).
- 8-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -38.72% ROI
- 16-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 0.99% ROI
- 14-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -10.46% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Muller has allowed an OBP of .600 (30 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .325 — first Percentile.
Kyle Muller has allowed an OBP of .520 (50 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .334 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .542 (13-for-24) against Kyle Muller when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .260 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .314 (16-for-51) against Kyle Muller when ahead in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .198 — second Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brad Keller has walked 24 of 133 batters (18%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (132/406) against Brad Keller in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has a strike rate of just 57% (315/555) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has a strike rate of just 54% (127/234) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Athletics are just 0-4 (.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .890.
The Athletics are just 4-7 (.364) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Athletics are just 1-5 (.167) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Athletics are just 5-20 (.200) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Royals are just 2-14 (.125) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Royals are just 5-52 (.088) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
The Royals are just 2-8 (.200) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .601.
The Royals are just 2-4 (.333) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics are batting just .209 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .281 (3,551 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .608 (3,551 PA’s) at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Athletics hitters have an OPS of just .634 (7,067 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 8% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (873 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Royals hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .382 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Athletics pitchers have walked 163 of 1,330 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers have an ERA of 9.16 (116.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.51.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Athletics pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Athletics have allowed 7.62 runs per game (244/32) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.61.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have walked 10 of 52 batters (19%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Royals have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Nicholas Lopez (Royals): Appendicitis, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Trevor May (Athletics): Personal, D15
- Dany Jiménez (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Aledmys DÃaz (Athletics): Hamstring, D10
- Adrián MartÃnez (Athletics): Elbow, D15
- Kirby Snead (Athletics): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Piña (Athletics): Wrist, D10
- Seth Brown (Athletics): Oblique, D10
- Paul Blackburn (Athletics): Finger, D15
- Frederic Tarnok (Athletics): Undisclosed, D60
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