Wimbledon Betting: Carlos Alcaraz, Jannik Sinner Poised For Deep Runs

min read
Italy's Matteo Berrettini reacts as he plays Spain's Carlos Alcaraz in a men's singles match on day eight of the Wimbledon tennis championships in London, Monday, July 10, 2023.
(AP Photo/Alberto Pezzali)
Chase Kiddy @chaseakiddy Jun 26, 2024, 12:50 PM
  • Carlos Alcaraz (+175) is the defending Wimbledon champion.
  • World No. 1 Jannik Sinner (+160) is the favorite.
  • With Novak Djokovic hurt, the draw will have some clear futures openings to bet.

One of the top highlights of the tennis calendar is just days away.

The main draw of Wimbledon is set to begin on Monday, bringing a full fortnight of exciting London tennis. 

As always, the BetMGM online sportsbook has dozens of markets for prospective bettors looking to fill the summertime doldrums with a little bit of tennis betting.

Wimbledon Odds (Men’s Singles 2024)

PlayerOdds
Jannik Sinner+160
Carlos Alcaraz+175
Novak Djokovic+400
Alexander Zverev+1000
Hubert Hurkacz+1100
Daniil Medvedev+1200
Matteo Berrettini+1600
Jack Draper+1600
Alex de Minaur+2000
Grigor Dimitrov+2000
Taylor Fritz+2800
Holger Rune+3300
Christopher Eubanks+3300
Stefanos Tsitsipas+3300
Tommy Paul+4000
Ben Shelton+4000

Wimbledon Betting: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jannik Sinner

Carlos Alcaraz doesn’t quite have the genuflect when you whisper his name level of respect that Roger Federer, Novak Djokovic, and Rafael Nadal achieved over the last 20 years. 

However, he is the reigning Wimbledon champion and also just won the French Open a few weeks ago. Tennis fans will tell you he’s the obvious favorite to win this tournament.

From a strict odds standpoint, though, he’s actually not. Jannik Sinner is currently atop of the ATP rankings at No. 1 and just ripped off five straight wins in Halle. 

The fast court speed on the Wimbledon lawn will more closely resemble the Australian Open and Roland Garros, and Sinner took home his first slam trophy earlier this year in Melbourne.

Does that mean that Sinner is actually the superior bet to Alcaraz? Your mileage may vary. Alcaraz enjoys a 5-4 head-to-head advantage over Sinner, but the latter won their only meeting on grass – in 2022, at Wimbledon.

Wimbledon Betting: Handicapping the 2024 Field

This year’s draw has a real chance to feature an Alcaraz vs. Sinner final. But just for fun, let’s handicap some other names. 

Alexander Zverev (+700) and Stefanos Tsitsipas (+900) have been two of the top tour players this year, but neither of them play particularly well at Wimbledon. Even if there’s an argument for a breakthrough this year, it’s hard to imagine they’d be good bets at those relatively short prices.

Casper Ruud (+1200) and Holger Rune (+2200) are lousy grass players that much prefer clay season. Alex de Minaur is a strong week-to-week tour player, but has made zero semifinals and only two quarterfinals at slam tournaments throughout his entire career. 

That leaves bettors with a few decent options left. Daniil Medvedev (+2800) is known for his hardcourt prowess, but he is a decent grass player as well. He made it to the semifinals in last year’s Wimbledon draw before bowing out to Alcaraz. He could be a real threat to win his quarter, depending on the draw. 

Hubert Hurkacz (+8000) is pretty firmly in long-shot territory, but the Pole has a huge serve that translates well to grass tennis. He just made the finals in Halle, taking Sinner to a tiebreak in both sets. The first tiebreaker was played out to 10-8, meaning Hurkacz’s serve really pushed Sinner.

The bet I probably like most is Matteo Berrettini (+1600). The Italian made the Wimbledon finals in 2021 before a spring injury in 2022 derailed much of his next two tour seasons. (He did manage to take a set off Alcaraz at Wimbledon last year.)

Berrettini is back in good form this year, winning on clay at Marrakech back in April and recently playing Jack Draper in the final at ATP Stuttgart. When he’s right, Berrettini has been one of the best grass players on tour. Don’t be surprised if he recaptures his 2021 magic this year. 

Wimbledon Betting: Novak Djokovic Health Update

You may have noticed the general absence of one player’s name so far. Djokovic has won seven Wimbledon titles since 2011; he’s also appeared in each of the last five championship matches, winning four of them. 

Djokovic himself has talked many times about how much he loves playing in London and how good he is on the lawn. So it is startling to see the Serbian master third in the table at +400.

But Djokovic tore his meniscus during a marathon fourth-round match against Francisco Cerundolo in the French Open, leaving his health in doubt for Wimbledon. He underwent corrective surgery and will have had only a few weeks to recover.

Word is that Djokovic has traveled to London and is hoping to play, but his status remains up in the air. Even if he’s on the court, it can’t be wise to bet on a 37-year-old Djokovic with a bad knee against in-form guys like Sinner and Alcaraz.

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About the Author

Chase Kiddy

Read More @chaseakiddy

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.

Chase Kiddy is a writer for BetMGM and co-host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and everywhere else. He has also written for a number of print and online outlets, including the Richmond Times-Dispatch, Washington Post, Daily News-Record, and HERO Sports. His first novel, Cave Paintings, is in development.