- The Colts are -3.5 point favorites vs the Bears
- Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
- Watch the game on NFL Network
The Chicago Bears visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts on Aug. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Indianapolis.
The Colts are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Bears vs. Colts Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.
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Bears vs. Colts Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bears | +3.5 -110 | 40.5 -115 | +145 |
| Colts | -3.5 -110 | 40.5 -105 | -175 |
Bears vs. Colts Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Colts will win this preseason game with 62.4% confidence.
Bears vs Colts Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread with 54.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bears and Colts, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 73% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.95 Units / 74% ROI)
- Darnell Mooney has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 66% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.55 Units / 54% ROI)
Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Michael Pittman has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Matt Ryan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kylen Granson has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
Colts Best Bets:
- The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 2H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 45% ROI)
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Bears went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Bears are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 58.82% ROI
- Bears are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Bears are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / ROI
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Colts went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Colts are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -100% ROI
- Colts are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Colts are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Bears were 1-7 (.125) when within 7 points at the two minute warning in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Bears were winless (0-8) when allowing more than 5 yards per rush in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .451.
The Bears were winless (0-8) when losing at least one fumble in the 2022 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .391.
The Bears are winless (0-10) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .491.
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Colts were 2-9-1 (.167) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards in the 2022 season — tied for 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.
The Colts were 2-11-1 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .415.
The Colts were 1-4-1 (.167) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes in the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.
The Colts were 3-10-1 (.214) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2022 season — tied for 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .478.
Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts
Colts RBs averaged 8.3 touches per game in the red zone in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — highest in NFL. The Bears have allowed 4 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone to RBs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-most in NFL.
Colts TEs had 12 receptions in 4 games (just 3.0 per game) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-worst in NFL. The Bears allowed just 3.2 receptions per game to TEs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for third-best in NFL.
The Bears had a third down conversion rate of just 5.6% on 3rd and 10+ YTG in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-worst in NFL. The Colts defense allowed a third down conversion rate of just 6.7% on 3rd and 10+ YTG in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-best in NFL.
Bears TEs averaged 7.0 yards after the catch in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-best in NFL. The Colts allowed 7.3 yards after catch per reception to TEs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — third-worst in NFL.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears threw the ball 38% of the time (376 Pass Attempts/990 plays) in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Bears threw the ball 34% of the time (254 Pass Attempts/747 plays) on Early Downs in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Bears have been sacked on 11% of pass attempts (116/1,033) since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 6%.
43% of the Bears offense’s first downs (109 of 256) came through the air in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 62%.
Indianapolis Colts Offense: Important Stats
The Colts averaged 12.1 drives per TD in the 1st half in the 2022 season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.7.
The Colts committed 32 turnovers in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Colts went three and out 18 times in the 1st quarter in the 2022 season — most in NFL.
The Colts ran successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the red zone in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 39% on 3rd and long in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 24%.
The Bears defense allowed first downs on 49% of plays on 3rd down in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Bears defense averaged a sack every 25.0 pass attempts (501 Pass Attempts/20 Sacks) in the 2022 season — 2nd-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.9.
Offenses facing the Bears have thrown the ball 47% of the time (959 Pass Attempts/2,052 plays) since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 54%.
Indianapolis Colts Defense: Important Stats
The Colts defense allowed 43.7 Points per Game (131/3) on the road in the last 8 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22.6.
The Colts defense blitzed on just 7% of plays in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
The Colts defense allowed 33.8 Points per Game (135/4) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21.2.
The Colts defense allowed a passer rating of 96.2 (536 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 89.1.
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