Bears vs Lions Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 17

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 27, 2022, 1:19 PM
  • The Lions (7-8) are -6 point favorites vs the Bears (3-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 52 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Chicago Bears (3-12) visit Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions (7-8) on Jan. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Detroit.

The Lions are betting favorites in Week 17, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Bears vs. Lions Over/Under is 52 total points for the game.

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Bears vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Over/Under Week 17

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bears+6 -11052 -110+200
Lions -6 -11052 -110-250

Bears vs. Lions Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Lions will win this Week 17 game with 69.3% confidence.

Bears vs Lions Spread Prediction for Week 17

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Lions will cover the spread this Week 17 with 53.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bears and Lions, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Bears Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bears players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Justin Fields has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Chase Claypool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.95 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Justin Fields has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Lions Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Lions players for Week 17, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jared Goff has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 7 games (+7.20 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.90 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Jamaal Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Kalif Raymond has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.05 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Jared Goff has hit the Pass Attempts Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 94% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+5.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+8.00 Units / 95% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have scored first in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have covered the 4Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.15 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Detroit Lions have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.75 Units / 61% ROI)

Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears have gone 5-9 (-5 Units / -30.12% ROI).

  • Bears are 3-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -37.35% ROI
  • Bears are 10-5 when betting the Over for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Bears are 5-10 when betting the Under for -6 Units / ROI

Lions Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Lions have gone 10-5 (+4.4 Units / 26.67% ROI).

  • Lions are 7-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -1.8% ROI
  • Lions are 10-5 when betting the Over for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Lions are 5-10 when betting the Under for -6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Lions

The Bears are winless (0-2) when sacking the QB 3 or more times this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .618.

The Bears are 6-8 (.429) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .761.

The Bears are winless (0-5) when allowing 250 or more passing yards this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .479.

The Bears are winless (0-7) when intercepting no passes this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .381.

Detroit Lions: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears

The Lions are 2-8-1 (.182) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2021 season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.

The Lions are 1-7 (.125) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards this season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .365.

The Lions are 4-1 (.800) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — tied for 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .563.

The Lions are 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — tied for 6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .389.

Additional Matchup Notes for Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions

The Lions have gone three and out on 15.6% of their drives this season — fifth-best in NFL. Bears have forced three and outs on 16.7% of opponent drives this season — third-worst in NFL.

Lions RBs have 18 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — most in NFL. The Bears have allowed 27 rushing TDs this season — most in NFL.

The Lions have run 54.9% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since Week 13 — fourth-best in NFL. Bears have allowed their opponents to run 53.7% of plays in their territory since Week 13 — second-worst in NFL.

The Bears have rushed the ball on 56.4% of plays from scrimmage this season — highest in NFL. The Lions have allowed 5.3 yards per carry this season — third-worst in NFL.

Bears RBs have just 0.1 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Lions have allowed an average of 25 PPG this season — worst in NFL.

The Bears have rushed the ball on 66.1% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone this season — second-highest in NFL. The Lions have allowed 19 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for most in NFL.

Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Bears ran successful plays on 17% of plays in the 2nd half in Week 16 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Bears have thrown the ball 37% of the time (328 Pass Attempts/890 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Bears have 98 of 236 (41%) first downs through the air this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 62%.

The Bears have 138 of 236 (58%) first downs have come on the ground (58%) this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

Detroit Lions Offense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Lions ran successful plays on 18% of rush attempts in Week 16 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Lions ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.

The Lions have run 21% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.

The Lions have started 62 drives inside their own 20 yard line since the 2021 season — fewest in NFL.

Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

The Bears defense has allowed a passer rating of 122.9 on 3rd and long (58 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 80.8.

The Bears defense sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (48/526) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6%.

The Bears defense allowed first downs on 55% of rush attempts on 3rd and short last season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 69%.

The Bears defense has allowed first downs on 45% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

Detroit Lions Defense: Important Stats for Week 17

Offenses facing the Lions targeted RBs 11% of the time (119 Pass Attempts/1,055 plays) since the 2021 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 18%.

The Lions defense has allowed first downs on 56% of rush attempts on 3rd and long this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 26%.

The Lions defense has allowed 208.3 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 158.4.

The Lions defense has allowed 423.5 yards from scrimmage per game this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 357.9.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.