Bellarmine vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2023, 12:39 PM
  • Liberty (24-7) is a -16.5 point favorite vs Bellarmine (15-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 128.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Bellarmine Knights (15-17) visit Liberty Arena to take on the Liberty Flames (24-7) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Lynchburg.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-115).

The Bellarmine vs. Liberty Over/Under is 128.5 total points.

Bet now on Liberty vs Bellarmine & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Bellarmine vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bellarmine+16.5 -105O 128.5 -105+875
Liberty -16.5 -115U 128.5 -115-1600

Bellarmine vs Liberty Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Liberty will win this game with 75.7% confidence.

Bellarmine vs Liberty Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Bellarmine will cover the spread with 54.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Bellarmine and Liberty, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Liberty vs Bellarmine and all games with BetMGM


  • Bellarmine has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 43 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Bellarmine have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 25 away games (+7.20 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Bellarmine have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Bellarmine has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Bellarmine has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Moneyline in their last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 13 games at home (+10.90 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)

Bellarmine Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bellarmine has gone 15-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.45 Units / -1.41% ROI).

  • 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 0.62% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.19% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -10.97% ROI

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has gone 17-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+4.9 Units / 15.88% ROI).

  • 19-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -1.26% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -7.79% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -0.97% ROI

Bellarmine Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bellarmine has 12.7 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Bellarmine has averaged 9.7 turnovers per game (552 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Bellarmine has 12.4 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 16.1

Bellarmine has 12.4 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 17.7

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (418 assists/ 247 TOs) this season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Liberty has made 11.0 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Liberty has made 10.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Liberty has a TS% of 53% since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Bellarmine Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bellarmine has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (531 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Bellarmine has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,254 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among Atlantic Sun Teams; League Avg: 24.0

Bellarmine has averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,254 rebounds/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Bellarmine has averaged 5.6 steals per game (321 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has allowed 58.4 points per game (1,401 points/24 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.6

Liberty has allowed 58.4 points per game (1,401 points/24 games) this season — best among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 70.4

Liberty has allowed 61.3 points per game (3,495 points/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.8

Liberty has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (506/1,235) this season — 2nd best among Atlantic Sun Teams ; League Avg: 44%


Bet now on Liberty vs Bellarmine and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated college basketball betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.