- The Falcons are -6.5 point favorites vs the Bengals
- Total (Over/Under): 38.5 points
The Cincinnati Bengals visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons on Aug. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Falcons are betting favorites in this preseason matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Bengals vs. Falcons Over/Under is 38.5 total points for the game.
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Bengals vs. Falcons Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Bengals | +6.5 -110 | 38.5 -115 | +200 |
| Falcons | -6.5 -110 | 38.5 -105 | -250 |
Bengals vs. Falcons Prediction
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Falcons will win this preseason game with 73.6% confidence.
Bengals vs Falcons Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Bengals and Falcons, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Bengals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Bengals players this preseason game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joe Burrow has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 9 of his last 11 away games (+6.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ja’Marr Chase has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Joe Mixon has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the Passing Yards Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+5.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Tyler Boyd has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.90 Units / 57% ROI)
Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for this preseason matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Tyler Allgeier has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- Drake London has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 31% ROI)
Bengals Best Bets:
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 2H Spread in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.20 Units / 39% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+11.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have scored last in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.40 Units / 67% ROI)
Bengals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Bengals went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Bengals are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- Bengals are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Bengals are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / ROI
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Falcons went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Falcons are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 125% ROI
- Falcons are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Falcons are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Bengals are 7-1 (.875) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .353.
The Bengals were 11-0 (1.000) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — best in NFL. The Falcons averaged just 1.2 sacks per game over that time span — tied for worst in NFL.
The Bengals are undefeated (16-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .585.
The Bengals are 7-3 (.700) vs top 10 offenses since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .344.
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Falcons are 2-10 (.167) after a win since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .530.
The Falcons are 1-5 (.167) after a home win since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .512.
The Falcons were 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 run offenses in the 2022 season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .429.
The Falcons were 2-8 (.200) whe trailing at the end of the frist half in the 2022 season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .295.
Additional Matchup Notes for Cincinnati Bengals vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons had an average drive start position from the 24.8 yard line last season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL. The Bengals allowed an average drive start position from the 25.3 yard line last season — tied for fourth-best in NFL.
The Falcons had a third down conversion rate of 52.9% in the fourth quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — fourth-best in NFL. The Bengals defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 61.5% in the 4th quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL.
The Falcons threw for 9.5 yards per attempt on passes up the middle last season — fourth-best in NFL. The Bengals allowed 8.9 yards per dropback when defending passes up the middle last season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.
The Bengals had a third down conversion rate of 46.4% last season — third-best in NFL. The Falcons defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 45.9% last season — second-worst in NFL.
The Bengals ran successful plays on 50.8% of pass attempts last season — fourth-best in NFL. Falcons allowed successful plays on 50.4% of pass attempts last season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.
The Bengals were successful on 47.1% of plays they have run last season — fourth-best in NFL. Falcons allowed their opponents to be successful on 48.9% of plays last season — worst in NFL.
Cincinnati Bengals Offense: Important Stats
The Bengals ran 58% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 2nd half in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Bengals have scored 17 TDs from their own territory since the 2021 season — most in NFL.
The Bengals started 29 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 2022 season — fewest in NFL.
The Bengals threw 2.1 TD passes per game (36/17) in the 2022 season — tied for 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 1.4.
Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats
The Falcons threw the ball 31% of the time (139 Pass Attempts/450 plays) on 1st down in the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Falcons threw the ball 41% of the time (415 Pass Attempts/1,011 plays) in the 2022 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Falcons threw the ball 37% of the time (298 Pass Attempts/797 plays) on Early Downs in the 2022 season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 49%.
The Falcons went three and out on 4% of their drives in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
Cincinnati Bengals Defense: Important Stats
The Bengals defense allowed a passer rating of just 70.3 when blitzing (98 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 92.0.
The Bengals defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 59% (332 completions/565 attempts) in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 64%.
The Bengals defense allowed successful plays on 33% of plays in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Bengals defense allowed successful plays on 31% of pass attempts in the 3rd quarter in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats
The Falcons defense averaged a sack every 27.7 pass attempts (582 Pass Attempts/21 Sacks) in the 2022 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.9.
The Falcons defense hurried opposing QBs on 6% of pass attempts in the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Falcons defense has averaged a sack every 30.1 pass attempts (1,175 Pass Attempts/39 Sacks) since the 2021 season — worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 15.5.
The Falcons defense has hurried opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
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