Cleveland got Baker Mayfield back just in time for a massive game against the Bengals, and the Browns were able to put up 41 points against Cincinnati. This offensive explosion was especially impressive considering the Bengals held Lamar Jackson and the Ravens to 17 points two weeks ago. Now, the Browns head to Foxborough to take on Mac Jones and the New England Patriots.
The Browns are +1.5 underdogs against the Patriots, according to the NFL betting lines from BetMGM.
Browns at Patriots should be a low-scoring affair between two teams that rank in the league’s top half defensively. Read on to find out how the game might play out.
Under 45 Total Points (-110)
Cleveland Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield struggled in the first half of the season but put on an impressive performance against Cincinnati last week. Mayfield was efficient and error-free, completing 14 of 21 passes for 218 yards and two touchdowns in a win.
Mayfield will face a much more formidable task against the Bill Belichick defense in Week 10. New England has the NFL’s 10th best passing defense.
That unit has allowed an average of 201.7 passing yards over the last three games.
Unfortunately, Nick Chubb and Demetric Felton both tested positive for COVID-19. But, because they’re both vaccinated, they can play Sunday if they return two negative tests 24 hours apart.
If they can’t return, Cleveland enters the game with one active RB, D’Ernest Johnson.
Browns Moneyline (+105)
The Browns can win against the Patriots if they run the ball and trust Mayfield to avoid mistakes. New England has a middle-of-the-road run defense that’s allowing 108.9 yards per game this season.
The Patriots’ defense is also heavily reliant on turnovers. They’ve forced seven interceptions in their last three games. However, the Patriots have also played Zach Wilson and Sam Darnold over that stretch.
If Mayfield can play mistake-free football, the Browns should control the clock and wear down this New England run defense.
Browns +1.5 (-110)
If the Browns money line bet is a little too risky for you, playing the line might be a better option. Low scoring games often come down to a last-second field goal, and Mac Jones has already proven that he’s capable of game-winning drives.
Against the Texans in Week 5, Jones led the Patriots on a 15 play drive to set up the game-winning field goal.
He also marched the Patriots downfield against the Buccaneers to set up a game-winning field goal that his kicker missed. So while the Browns should control the clock all game on the ground, there’s always a chance that Mac Jones comes up with some late-game heroics.
Breaking Down Browns at Patriots in Week 10
Can Baker Mayfield stay hot after his performance last week, or will Bill Belichick and the Patriots stop the Browns’ offense in its tracks?
The Browns offense looks legit, but it will be on Baker Mayfield to avoid mistakes that will give New England a chance.
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