Week 11 is here, and we now have a clearer picture of this year’s elite programs. Bowl season is a little more than a month away, and many schools still have hope for a College Football Playoff birth.
This week, one playoff hopeful is in my best college bets. So check out this guide to this week’s college football odds before you lay any action.
North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh (-6.5)
North Carolina’s Sam Howell and Pitt’s Kenny Pickett have heard their names thrown into the Heisman conversation at various times this season. Both QBs have strong arms and are elusive runners.
They should see significant opportunities at the next level.
Pickett, who passed Pitt legend Dan Marino for the school’s all-time touchdown pass record, leads the most productive offense in NCAA Football. Pitt scores an average of 45 points per game.
Howell’s UNC offense averages 38.9 points per game and ranks in the top ten for total yards. Those are great numbers, but the problem is North Carolina’s putrid defense.
The Tar Heels give up an average of 33.4 points per game, and teams gain 240.7 yards through the air.
Though the total appears to be an obvious play at 74.5, I’d stay away from it. UNC still has a chance to win the ACC Coastal, but they must win this game.
I expect Mack Brown to throw everything, including the kitchen sink, at Pat Narduzzi’s squad. And if you’re familiar with Pitt’s history, you know they’ve traditionally struggled in these spots.
The first half will be close, close enough to make the Pitt faithful nervous. However, Kenny Pickett and the Pitt offense should pull away in the second half and cover the 6.5.
New Mexico State vs. Alabama (U 67.5)
The 2021 version of the Crimson Tide isn’t quite as dominant on defense as in past years. Their defense ranks 25th in points allowed (19.9), but their offense is in the top five in points scored (45).
Put it all together, and Saban’s mighty Alabama squad ranks third in the most recent AP Poll.
New Mexico State isn’t in the same class as Alabama, and it’s almost a lock that Alabama wins this game. If you love sports betting, the Crimson Tide winning is irrelevant. You want to know their margin of victory.
The Aggies score only 23.1 points per game but allow an average of 38. They’re also porous against the run, allowing 173.6 rushing yards per game.
After gaining only six rushing yards against LSU last week, Saban and crew are out to prove they can run the ball.
This game should be a bloodbath, and a 51.5 spread offered by online sportsbooks is tempting. But, unfortunately, Alabama is only 3-2 ATS at home this year.
To me, one of the best college football bets this week is under the total. I expect Saban to use this game to work out the kinks in their running game, and I don’t think New Mexico will score more than a touchdown.
This Week’s Best College Bets
The best college bets this week involve two top-five offenses. Do you have faith in the Panthers to cover?
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