The Dallas Cowboys (9-4) play another divisional road game this week. They face the New York Giants (4-9), who’ve lost four out of their last six matchups.
The NFL odds show that Dallas (-10.5) is heavily favored this week. Here are the best bets for the Cowboys at Giants in Week 15.
Cowboys -10.5 (-110)
Last week, the Giants were without Daniel Jones at quarterback, and Mike Glennon filled in against the Los Angeles Chargers.
The Giants also signed Jake Fromm off the Buffalo Bills practice squad if Glennon couldn’t play due to a concussion suffered in Week 13. Glennon played and went 17-for-36 for 191 yards, with two touchdowns and an interception. The Giants lost 37-21.
Without Jones, New York has dropped two straight by an average of 13.5.
The Cowboys are 5-2 outright and 6-1 against the spread on the road. Last week against the Washington Football Team, they led 24-0 at halftime. They recorded five sacks and created four turnovers on their way to a 27-20 victory.
In New York, the Cowboys will face the 19th-ranked passing defense in the NFL (244.7 yards per game). The Cowboys have the league’s fourth passing offense (280.6 yards per game). They also rank second overall in points per game this season with 29.2.
The Giants have averaged 14.3 points in their last three games and struggle to score points without Jones. Dallas, however, averages 29 points over their previous three games. I believe that Dak Prescott and the Cowboys’ offense will continue their recent scoring trends and put up enough points to cover the 10.5.
Dallas Cowboys by 7-12 (+340)
In the previous matchup between the Cowboys and Giants in Week 5, Dallas won 44-20 in a blowout game at home.
That was before Dak Prescott’s calf injury. Since Dak’s return, the Dallas Cowboys have gone 3-3. While Dallas did defeat the Atlanta Falcons 43-3, their other two victories were by ten points against the New Orleans Saints and seven points against the Washington Football Team, respectively.
Since his return, Dak has thrown for eight touchdowns and six interceptions. He’s also only eclipsed 300 yards passing in one game. He looks less mobile in the pocket as well. In his first six games of the season, he took nine sacks. In his six games since returning, he’s taken 13.
I believe that the Giants should be able to do just enough to slow a struggling Prescott, making this alternative bet intriguing.
Cowboys Under 27.5 (-110)
I like this alternative bet because of the Giants’ defense at home and the Cowboys’ offensive struggles on the road.
Dallas averages 29.2 points per game, but much of their offensive success comes from playing at home. In Dallas, the Cowboys average 35.5 points per game. That drops to 23.9 on the road. They’ve averaged just under 21 points per contest in their last four road games.
New York has allowed 16 points per game in their previous four home contests. The Giants rank fourth in the NFL for points allowed at home this season, giving up an average of 18 points per matchup.
Given the recent output of the Dallas offense, under 27.5 on the road against a Giants team that holds opponents to under 20 points at home makes sense.
Cowboys at Giants
What are your favorite bets for the Cowboys at Giants this week? Does Dallas have a chance for another blowout game against New York? Or do the Giants keep this one close?
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