Biggest NFL Point-Spread Upsets of Last 10 Years

min read
(AP Foto/Phelan M. Ebenhack)
Andrew Doughty @DoughtyBetMGM Dec 23, 2021, 7:26 PM

The Buffalo Bills committed 12 penalties, allowed four sacks, committed three turnovers, and scored six points as they failed to cover a 16-point spread in a Week 9 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars. In gifting Urban Meyer one of his two career NFL victories, the Bills became just the fourth team to lose outright in the last decade when favored by at least 15 points.

Three years earlier, Sean McDermott and the Bills were on the other side of a shocking upset. In Josh Allen’s first career start, it was the Bills who forced three turnovers and allowed six points in a 21-point over the Minnesota Vikings, a 16.5-point favorite. It remains the only game since 2009 in which an underdog of at least 10 points won by at least 21 points. (The Detroit Lions nearly accomplished the feat in this year’s Week 15 win over the Arizona Cardinals when they led by 21 points in the fourth quarter before winning by 18 points.)

Both the Bills’ loss to the Jaguars this season and their win over the Vikings in 2018 sit among the 10 biggest point-spread upsets of the last 10 years (2012-21) of NFL betting.

Here is the full list:

YearMatchupFinal Score
2020Jets at Rams (-17.5)Jets 23-20
2019Dolphins at Patriots (-17.5)Dolphins 27-24
2018Bills at Vikings (-16.5)Bills 27-6
2021Bills at Jaguars (-16)Jaguars 9-6
2020Steelers at Bengals (-14.5)Bengals 27-17
2019Falcons at Saints (-14)Falcons 26-9
2017Dolphins (-14) at FalconsDolphins 20-17
2017Giants (-14) at BroncosGiants 23-10
2018Eagles (-13.5) at RamsEagles 30-23
2018Cardinals (-13.5) at PackersCardinals 20-17

Mobile Sports Betting

At BetMGM, you can bet online from your desktop computer with online sports betting or your phone with mobile sports betting. With the BetMGM Sportsbook app, you can view updated sports betting odds, including live betting odds, NFL odds, and college football spreads.

BetMGM $1000 Welcome Bonus Offer
About the Author

Andrew Doughty

Read More @DoughtyBetMGM

Andrew Doughty is a writer for BetMGM and host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Apple Podcasts and everywhere else.

Andrew Doughty is a writer for BetMGM and host of The Lion's Edge, an NFL and college football podcast available on Apple Podcasts and everywhere else.