Bills vs Chiefs NFL Betting Odds, Lines & Predictions for Divisional Playoff Round

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2022, 3:24 PM
  • The Chiefs (11-5) are -1.5 favorites vs the Bills (10-6)
  • Sunday, January 23, 2022 6:30pm EST on CBS
  • Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points

The Kansas City Chiefs (11-5) play the Buffalo Bills (10-6) on Sunday, January 23, 2022 6:30pm EST at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in the Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs.

The Chiefs are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The total (Over/Under) is 54.5 points for the game.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Chiefs vs Bills and all NFL games with BetMGM

Where & How to Watch Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills, Divisional Playoff Round

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 23, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:30pm EST
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Kansas City, MO at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Odds & Spread, Divisional Playoff Round

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Buffalo Bills+1.5 -11054.5 -110105
Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 -11054.5 -110-125

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Buffalo Bills: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs

The Bills were winless (0-4) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.

The Bills were 10-2 (.833) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season — third-best in NFL. The Chiefs averaged just 1.8 sacks per game over that time span — tied for third-worst in NFL.

The Bills were winless (0-4) when allowing 22 or more points this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .267.

The Bills were 11-2 (.846) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season — 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .621.

Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Buffalo Bills

The Chiefs are 4-3 (.571) when rushing less than 20 times since last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .155.

The Chiefs are 6-4 (.600) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .181.

The Chiefs are undefeated (9-0) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .528.

The Chiefs are 8-6 (.571) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2019 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .171.

Additional Matchup Notes for Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs, Divisional Round

Chiefs RBs averaged 9.5 yards after the catch this season — best in NFL. The Bills allowed 9.0 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — tied for second-worst in NFL.

Chiefs RBs gained 824 yards on 90 receptions (9.2 YPR) this season — tied for best in NFL. The Bills allowed 8.7 Yards Per Reception to RBs this season — tied for fourth-worst in NFL.

Chiefs RBs gained 216 yards on 21 receptions (10.3 YPR) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for best in NFL. The Bills allowed 10.8 Yards Per Reception to RBs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — second-worst in NFL.

The Bills have run successful plays on 47.1% of rush attempts since the 2020 season — fifth-best in NFL. Chiefs have allowed successful plays on 49.0% of rush attempts since last season — tied for worst in NFL.

The Bills was sacked 27 this season — tied for second-fewest in NFL. The Chiefs sacked the quarterback 31 times this season — tied for fourth-fewest in NFL.

Bills WRs had 64 receptions in 4 games (16.0 per game) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL. The Chiefs allowed 14.0 receptions per game to WRs in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — tied for fifth-worst in NFL.

Key Injuries for the Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills Game, Divisional Round

  • Kansas City Chiefs - No Injuries Reported
  • Gabriel Davis (Bills): Ankle, Limited Participation In Practice
  • Stefon Diggs (Bills): Not Injury Related, Did Not Participate In Practice
  • Jerry Hughes (Bills): Not Injury Related, Did Not Participate In Practice
  • Micah Hyde (Bills): Neck, Limited Participation In Practice
  • Efe Obada (Bills): Calf, Limited Participation In Practice

Buffalo Bills Offense: Important Stats for Divisional Round

The Bills had an average drive start position from the 37.0 yard line in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 25.7.

The Bills have run 25% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter since last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Bills ran 28% of their plays in the red zone in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Bills started 4 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 1st quarter this season — tied for fewest in NFL.

Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats for Divisional Round

The Chiefs had a third down conversion rate of 71% against the blitz this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Chiefs scored on 49% of their drives in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 28%.

The Chiefs went three and out on 10% of their drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Chiefs had a third down conversion rate of 53% this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

Buffalo Bills Defense: Important Stats for Divisional Round

The Bills defense allowed a passer rating of just 65.4 (531 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 90.8.

The Bills defense allowed first downs on 26% of pass attempts this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 34%.

The Bills defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 56% (298 completions/531 attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 65%.

The Bills defense allowed 12 TD passes this season — fewest in NFL.

Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats for Divisional Round

The Chiefs defense tackled opponents for a loss on just 28 of 423 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) last season. — worst in NFL; League Avg: 11%

The Chiefs defense allowed a Completion Pct of 79% (44 completions/56 attempts) in the red zone last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 58%

The Chiefs defense did not allow a TD pass in Week 18 — tied for fewest in NFL.

The Chiefs defense forced one fumble on 423 carries last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 70.0

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.