Blue Jays vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 02, 2022, 11:00 AM
  • The Blue Jays (70-59) are -250 favorites vs the Pirates (49-81)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (12-7), 2.60 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Johan Oviedo (2-1), 3.19 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet PT

The Toronto Blue Jays (-250) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+200) on Friday, September 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).

The Blue Jays vs Pirates Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 68-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 63-63 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-2.5 +105O 8 +100-250
Pirates +2.5 -130U 8 -120+200

Blue Jays vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s matchup with 58.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.25 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 53 away games (+15.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 53 away games (+14.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 50 of his last 85 games (+14.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.75 Units / 36% ROI)

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 40 games at home (+17.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 46 games at home (+13.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 41 games at home (+12.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 43 games at home (+11.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Ben Gamel has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 87 games (+19.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.55 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+0.45 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+7.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.35 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+1.05 Units / 21% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 52-74 against the Run Line (-27.3 Units / -18% ROI).

  • 68-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.1 Units / -12.16% ROI
  • 64-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -0.8% ROI
  • 59-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.3 Units / -8.79% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 63-63 against the Run Line (-7.9 Units / -5.02% ROI).

  • 48-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.65 Units / -5.87% ROI
  • 55-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.15 Units / -10.21% ROI
  • 63-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 1.76% ROI

Right-handed batters are hitting just .167 (45-for-269) against Alek Manoah this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .225 (293 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 98th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .489 (293 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .673 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .492 (518 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: .714 — 100th Percentile.

Johan Oviedo: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Beede has struck out just 12% (16/130) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (10/72) against Tyler Beede on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .277 (31-for-112) against Tyler Beede this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .228 — ninth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .471 (16-for-34) against Tyler Beede on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .322 — 10th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Blue Jays are just 3-49 (.058) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Blue Jays are 32-30 (.516) on the road this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Blue Jays are 58-3 (.951) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Blue Jays are 58-16 (.784) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Pirates are just 87-24 (.784) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Pirates are just 33-9 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Pirates are just 16-70 (.186) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

The Pirates are just 9-51 (.150) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The Blue Jays are batting .263 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .448 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .815 (3,787 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

The Pirates are batting just .138 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .219 (5,631 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .447 (5,631 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.

The Pirates are batting just .143 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 815 of 10,749 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 342 of 4,833 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 1,063 of 11,125 batters (10%) since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 285 of 3,050 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 5.37 (1146.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Pirates vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Heineman (Pirates): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Yerry De Los Santos (Pirates): Lat, D60
  • Dillon Peters (Pirates): Elbow, D15
  • Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
  • Colin Holderman (Pirates): Shoulder, D15
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • David Bednar (Pirates): Back, D15
  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.